Booming
Retail Sector: Destination India
Pranab K
Bhattacharya
Sri Giri
College of Management, Medchal, Hyderabad-501401
*Corresponding Author E-mail: pkb_2006@rediffmail.com, pranaber@yahoo.com
ABSTRACT:
Retailing is the largest private sector entity in the
world economy today with global spectrum exceeding $ 7.3 trillion. Notwithstanding
with the India’s true retail scenario of which majority are in the unorganized
sector, the organized ones are expected to grow by 25-30 per cent on YOY basis,
promising to generate about 12 per cent of country’s GDP. It will, in future be
the largest source of employment after agriculture and industries. In cue with
the liberalization policy of the government that has opened up retail market
for MNCs like Wal-mart, Carrefour, Metro AG, Tesco
etc. which will make this sector more attractive and highly competitive too.
Indian modern retail sector, which witnessed a phase of consolidation from the
second half of 2008 till well into early 2010, has undergone a learning phase
and encountered significant changes
since the country’s economy saw its first ray of hope, thanks to the bold step of liberalization, nearly two decades ago and is fast emerging.
The nations that have enjoyed greater economic and social progress have always
been those with a strong retail sector. Today retailers around the world have
become highly valued and necessary members of the society.
Having weathered the downturn storm, organized
retailers are now looking ahead, chalking out massive growth plan and eyeing
profitability. As a result, economic activities have stepped up and the GDP
growth is expected to be around 7.5 per cent by the end of this fiscal, modern
retailers are gearing up for expansion in 2010. Inviting foreign investors to
enter into the country’s retail arena could serve for the best interest of this
nation and its people. The government in power must initiate necessary
arrangements to attract multinational players to invest in this fortune sector.
Indian retail thus far witnessed major transformation of unorganized
family-owned retail formats to today’s organized retailing. The retail
revolution, as is foreseen, will eventually restructure the Indian economy and
would usher in accelerating an irreversible growth that is beneficial to every
stakeholders of the society.
INTRODUCTION:
The retail business in particular and the
country India in general have, of late, captured the imaginations of the retail
world. This sector has undergone significant changes and is fast emerging.
India has become one of the most lucrative markets for international retailers.
The growth
of Indian economy is now manifesting itself in the growing purchasing power of
its citizens. A 10 per cent to 12 per cent increase in the economy's disposable
income and a much higher one in urban areas is also reflecting itself in the
way goods and services are bought and sold.
The year
2009 saw a marked beginning of an enormous ‘retail revolution’ in India through
the resolved entries of many big players venturing to register their own shares
within a huge US $ 450 billion retailing scenario. Today, retail is the fastest
growing segment in the Indian economy a sunrise sector, appropriately referred.
Its contribution to GDP accounts to about 12 per cent and generates employment
of over 9 per cent.
Having
weathered the storm, the organized retailers are now looking ahead, chalking
out growth plans and eyeing profitability,
Retail is on
a roll in India and that is definitely a rocking news for all the consumers. As
of now, the listed biggies of Indian business are flocking for a pie of our
coveted applecart.
India's
Retail Scenario
The retail
scene in India is vastly unorganized. There is hardly any supply-chain
management perspective. According to a survey conducted in 2009 by AT Kearney,
an overwhelming proportion of the country’s retail market is unorganized. In
fact, only a $47 billion segment of the market is organized. Organized
retailing was worth $ 39 billion in 2008 and is growing at a rate of over 20
per cent annually.
Organized
retailing provides an ideal shopping experience based on the advantage of large
scale purchases, consumer preference analysis, cordial ambience and choice of
varied merchandise under one roof. Today, this sector, which had started with
life style retailing, has moved dominantly to value retailing as well. The
revolutionary changing life style, strong income growth and favorable demographic
variables are expected to surpass even the rate of GDP growth by the next five
years.
The share of
organized retail in country’s total retail market is about 5.5 per cent (2008),
which is expected to grow 12 per cent by 2012. Currently, India is the ninth
largest retail market in the world.
A recent
study of the retail segment in India reveals that fashion and food will
dominate the future retailing, and it accounts for nearly 90 per cent of the
total business turnover. The US $ 7 billion Indian foods industry, which forms
about 45 per cent of the entire FMCG sales, is growing at 10 per cent ensuring
a steady trade formats. Table 1 provides a view of commodities contribution
through organized retailing in India.
Table 1: Commodity-wise
contributions in Indian organized retailing
Commodity |
Year
2008 (Value in Rs. Cr.) |
Percentage |
Year 2015(Expected) Value in Rs. Cr. |
Percentage |
Food,
Grocery and General Merchandize |
2950 |
10 |
102546 |
42 |
Cloths,
Textiles and Fashion Accessories |
10900 |
39 |
40604 |
16 |
Durables
and Mobiles |
3340 |
12 |
28891 |
12 |
Food
services |
2000 |
7 |
24351 |
10 |
Home
improvement |
2500 |
8 |
16346 |
7 |
Jewelry
and Watches |
1960 |
7 |
8770 |
3 |
Footwear |
2500 |
9 |
6508 |
3 |
Books,
Music, Toys and Gifts |
800 |
3 |
3722 |
1 |
Others |
1350 |
5 |
14692 |
6 |
TOTAL |
28300 |
100 |
216431 |
100 |
Source:
TSMG Analysis, 2008
One can
easily visualize today that a determined bid of retail revolution is already
set-in to sweep across this country in the next few years, as traditional
good-olden-days markets are now surrendering ways for entirely a new breed of
retailing formats eventually by way of setting up of huge malls, hyper-markets,
supermarkets, multi-brand outlets (MBOs), discount stores, departmental stores,
convenience stores, specialty stores, exclusive stores etc.
In the last
one and a half years, beginning from early 2008, retailers consolidated their
overall operating efficiency mainly by shutting down unviable stores,
reassessing catchments and also by renegotiating rentals.
“In 2010, we
are getting a good response from consumers to our offers and value
propositions. This has resulted in enhancing positive same-store sales growths
culminating our focus on productivity”, said Thomas Varghese, CEO, Aditya Birla Retail.
Growing Demands in Smaller
Towns
Despite economic downturn during the last couple of
years, India’s retailing scenario is venturing on high speed growth and taking
a new image with malls and MBOs mushrooming allover.
The total mall space till 2002, which was merely hovering around one million
square feet mark, expected to be crossing the 60 million mark by the end 0f
2010. The exponential growth in organized retailing hitherto has been fueled by
the retail boom in the few selected tier-I cities which accounted for close to
75 per cent of the total mall space that has come up in the country since 2002.
However, the share of tier-I cities in the total retail sales is about 15 per
cent, compared to about 28 per cent for the tier-II and tier-III cities.
Even as the retail majors gear up to enhance their
stake of organized retail in the $ 450 billion retail ventures from the current
six per cent to around 28 per cent by 2012, experts opine that the tier-II and
tier-III cities will, in the next phase, contribute as major growth-centre
in organized retailing in India.
As the Indian modern retail spreading its tentacles
wider in urban areas, companies are increasingly testing considerable growth
options in smaller towns, where demand is expected to gain substantial
momentums in the coming years.
Elaborating on the Future Group’s experience in smaller
towns and cities with its Adhar chain of outlets, Damodar Mall, customer director, said, “These consumers
appreciate the width and depth of merchandise and are highly value conscious.
Our learning experience is that the customers across tier II, III, and IV towns
are as aspiration as their counterparts in the metros”.
These smaller towns are now already witnessing brand
activation. The young today represent a very large growing consumer base in these smaller towns and help drive growth
due to significant level of media exposures.
In the same vein, The Loot, a multi-brand retailing
store, pointed out that the current slowdown in economic growth is, in fact,
helping the companies focus on expanding their value
formats into the tier-II and tier-III cities. A recent research report
conducted by Angel Broking suggested that demand for organized retail has
tremendously picked up in those tier-II and tier-III cities like Ludhiana, Lucknow, Chandigarh, Jaipur,
Kochi, Agra, Nashik, Indore, Mysore, Amritsar, Guwahati and Varanasi and the consumers there are now
started opting for the shopping experience at malls.
Today, the mall mania has given Indians a new and
unique shopping experience which has everything from food, entertainment and
apparel to electronics and home appliances. On the other hand, luxury brands
too are flooding the Indian markets with their goods and stylish stores. While
the customer profile for these hi-end goods may be limited; they at times
attract the upper middle class, which wants to move up the consumer and social
ladder.
Here is a new fad catching up especially in the city.
These are recessionary times and how desperate the shop owners are to get
customers is evident from the schemes they are offering. If ‘buy one and get
two free’, ’flat 50 per cent off’ and the like are of any indications of their
desperation, some retailing bigwigs such as Levi’s jeans, Arrows, etc. have
come with the much talked about interest-free EMI options to attract their
customers amidst competition.
Attractiveness of Indian
Retail Markets
As per the Global Retail Development Index (GRDI) 2009
report as could be viewed from Table 2,
India was the second most attractive destination among top ten emerging markets
in the world. It had even overtaken China, a country that had literally been
liberalized cent per cent entry cap on FDI.
Table 2:
Emerging global markets in retail industry
Sl. No. |
Country |
Rank(2008) |
Rank(2007) |
Change |
1. |
Russia |
1 |
1 |
0 |
2. |
India |
2 |
5 |
3 |
3. |
China |
3 |
3 |
0 |
4. |
Slovenia |
4 |
14 |
10 |
5. |
Croatia |
5 |
N/A |
N/A |
6. |
Latvia |
6 |
19 |
13 |
7. |
Vietnam |
7 |
9 |
2 |
8. |
Turkey |
8 |
6 |
-2 |
9. |
Slovakia |
9 |
2 |
-7 |
10. |
Thailand |
10 |
18 |
8 |
Source: GRDI Report, 2009
Increasing
purchasing power, new formats, time of entry and pace of expansion, retail
expertise and information technology infrastructure etc. are the guiding
factors for retailers entering a particular market.
Entry of
Corporate Biggies:
India’s
retail scenario took a great leap forward through the entry of big names such
as Reliance with huge investments. But what really grabbed the attention of the
biggies was Sunil Mittal’s telecom-to-retail group Bharti enterprise’s foray to join the league by announcing
its tie-up with world’s largest retail chain, Wal-Mart, the $ 450 billion
(equal to India’s total retail market size) American gorilla to India.
Close on the
heels, another big-league retailer plans to kick-start its operations in the
country this year(2010) by setting up its shop in India. This time it was the
French giant and world’s second largest retailer – Carrefour, which like many
foreign retailers, has been looking forward to enter the restrictive Indian
market for over seven years by now.
Europe’s leading retailer – the $ 150 billion company operates more than 12000
hypermarkets, supermarkets, hard discount and convenience stores in over 30
countries around the globe. The company already has a sourcing office in New
Delhi which coordinates procurements of food and non-food items worth $ 2
billion from India alone.
It has,
meanwhile, set up two entities in India ---- Carrefour WC and C India Pvt. Ltd.
To run cash-and-carry business and Carrefour Master Franchise Company Pvt. Ltd.
For its retail business, but none has any outlets.
Global
retail chains have long been frustrated in their efforts to set up shops in the
world’s second fasted growing major economy, only
behind China, where organized retail accounts for a meager 6 per cent of
industry sales while income are rising quickly.
Carrefour
will join mega retailers such as top-notched Wal-Mart and Germany’s Metro AG in
operating cash-and-carry ventures in India.
Indian
regulations allow foreign multi-brand retailers only through franchise
agreements with local players. Foreign retailers may own up to 51 per cent in
single-brand retail and 100 per cent in cash-and-carry ventures. However, these
restrictions are intended to virtually protect the small petty shop operators
that still dominate majority of retail business in India. Carrefour is on a
hunting spree to formalize its entry.
Future
group, India’s largest retailer, with over 500-plus outlets comprising 125 Big Bazars, 160 Food Bazars, Central
and Pantaloon shops along with 120 KB Fair Price units, has long been in the
media speculation as a possible partner for Carrefour.
Wadia group’s flagship
company Bombay Dyeing and Manufacturing Company already has a presence in home
furnishing and apparel retail. It’s food area Britannia Industries recently
took over Café Coffee day’s 50 pr cent stake in Daily
Bread, a Bangalore based high-end food retailer.
Before
Reliance opened its first supermarket in Hyderabad in November 2006, with an
investment of around $ 5.5 billion, the other players already joined the
band-wagon were Future Group with its retailing arm, Pantaloon Retail India
Ltd., Subhiksha, RPG, Magna and Spencer’s. Of late,
Heritage Foods Ltd., too jumped into the fray.
The
Rs.4000-crore Pantaloon Retail also announced an investment plan of $ 1billion
to open 1000 outlets in the near future, an answer to the aggressive growth
strategy of Reliance. Meanwhile, Reliance announced a pan-India network of
outlets in multiple formats in the coming years.
Celebrity
Fashions, owners of premium menswear brand ‘Indian Terrain’, is creating
‘Spirit’ an economy range exclusively for Reliance Retail outlets which have
apparel domain.
The Tatas have been there for a while with Westside. Later,
joined with Woolworths and entered into a technical collaboration and launched
household appliances and home electronic stores, Croma. The Raheja Group opened Hypercity, a hypermarket, in Mumbai. Chennai based Subhiksha closed the year with nearly 500 outlets across
India, making it the largest in the discount format. As far as formats are
concerned, hypermarkets, supermarkets and discount stores gained prominence in
recent years.
Amongst the
biggies, it is now the turn of Kumar Mangalam Birla,
who along with Ambanis and Tatas
sits at the high table of India Inc., has taken over the 172-store Trinethra from private equity firm of Indian Value Fund.
This marks Birla’s first foray into
retail space (outside of clothes brands such as Allen Solly,
Van Hunsen and Louis Phillipe,
which are by-product of his group’s interest in textile via Grasim and Madura
Garments).
For Aditya Birla Retail, the foremost plan is to expand in
locations that meet its catchments criteria and have the right rent-to-revenue
ratio as per its business model. Today, it has more than 600 Supermarkets and
eight hypermarkets under the brand name More. It had also planned to open one
each in Delhi and Hyderabad and have a network of almost 1.9 million square
feet space currently.
Birla has
acquired 90 per cent in Trinethra through Aditya Birla Retail, the unlisted retail arm of the group;
the remaining 10 per cent continued to be with the parent company India Value.
The Rs.40000-crore group’s interest in entering retail has been known for a
while. Under the corporate umbrella of Hyderabad-headquartered Trinethra Super retail Ltd., there are two main brands, Trinehra and Fabmall, selling
personal care, home products, food and grocery in the convenience format.
Recently, the group has also announced the launch of ‘more’ brand of stores to
sell fresh fruits, vegetables and groceries through a chain of retail outlets
across the country. Birla plans to invest around Rs.9000 cr. over a period of
three years to set up its 1000 ‘more’ outlets across the metros and in the tier
one cities of India.
The deal
between Bharti Enterprise, the parent of top telecom
firm Bharti Airtel, and
Wal-Mart is now clear and open. It is a cash-and-carry JV under the brand Best
Price Modern Wholesale and with 50:50 partnerships it had already initiated its
operations since early 2009 by opening first 5 major stores in the country to
start with. It has also planned to open another 10 to 15 huge stores over the
next seven years while employing about 8000 people during the period. However,
as per confirmed information from the JV partners, they might get into
full-fledged retail only when the rules were relaxed for investment in the segment.
Wal-Mart
through its joint venture partner will also supply products to domestic
mom-and-pop stores, kirana stores (corner shops) and
even any other retail chains who should be willing to be served, at almost the
same price as what it shall offer to Bharti retail.
Wal-Mart’s global enterprise in supply chain and logistics is expected to bring
enhanced efficiencies across the retail ecosystem. The venture promises to
bring great value to millions of farmers, artisans, small manufacturers and
retailers across India. Mike Duke, vice-chairman, Wal-Mart Stores, Inc said
that they would like to leverage their global scale to transform some of the
Indian suppliers into exporters with access to their global markets over time.
This US-based juggernaut, however, for the moment has no plans to come to
India’s multi-brand retail sector due to prevailing Indian law.
Wal-Mart’s
‘customized’ strategy for India to supply to all business customers may have
been stemmed to please the lobby working against them in particular and in
general, against foreign investment in retail. The company has been facing
opposition from government, its allies, mainly the left and also local
store-owners, who feel that it is a back-door entry of the retail shark to
enter the Indian retail space.
As per the
joint-venture agreements, the wholesale cash-and-carry stores will cater the
back-end supply chain operations for all kinds of merchandise such as grocery,
apparel, home products including consumer electronics. Product sourcing for Indian
operations will be met from domestic suppliers and barely about 10 per cent
from outside the country on specific requirements.
This
strategy is likely to reinforce confidence levels and will be viewed as a
positive move by foreign retailers. International retailers know that they
cannot afford not to have operations in India. With Wal-Mart already fired-up
its way here and others such as French Carrefour and English Tesco waiting in
the wings expecting a possible structural change within the regulatory
framework of the government’s policy, India’s retail industry is apt to make a
big leap forward in the coming years.
Germany’s
Metro AG now operates five cash-and-carry stores in India under its own brand.
Under the
high intensity retail war, the guillotine is now turning towards the market
leader in the sector, Pantaloon Retail India Ltd. (PRIL). As per its Managing
Director, Kishore Biyani,
in a span of 5-6 years, PRIL shall introduce a totally different retail format
that would change the consumer’s perception of shopping. While Pantaloon may
focus on mall mania, others like Reliance, Subhiksha
etc. are opting for much lesser flamboyant space in numerous neighborhood
locations that are far more convenient ones.
However, the
most important question – whether PRIL be able to save its numero
uno crown from the incoming heavy weights like
Reliance, Bharti and so on? PRIL is mainly relying on
the front-end and not so much on the supply chain efficiency while rest of the
club is giving equal importance to both. Neglect of back-end operations may
prove to be a silent assassin threatening its very existence.
A recent
press report revealed that the National Textile Corporation (NTC) had
approached PRIL for partnering its vast nationwide retail space in a joint
venture agreement in near future. NTC had offered a lucrative share of 49 per
cent to finalize the deal.
Meanwhile, Gautam Singhania-controlled
Raymond is beefing up its retail business by planning further to add about 300
stores to its existing 500-plus outlets over the next two years. However, this
time, the entire focus is shifting largely on smaller cities. In a determined
bid to ultimately boost its growth plans, the group is roping in Marico’s CEO Rakesh Panday to head its retail
business in order to explore especially the growth potential of brands like ColorPlus.
Alongside,
the highly attractive urban scenario where shopping, of late, has replaced
outing as most favored option among the increasing IT related BPO tribes of
DINK (Double Income No Kids) couples with inflated pay packets, regarded
amongst the highest salaried people within the Asia Pacific countries; rural
retailing too gained momentum with Godrej growing stronger through its Adhere
initiative. Clearly with 70 per cent of 1.2 billion-strong population in rural
India, predominately consisting of farmers, retailers have realized that this
is the fastest way forward to strike fortunes --- be it ITC’s e-Choupal or DCM Consolidate’s Hariyali stores. Sooner or later, Mukesh
Ambani’s Reliance Retail too is targeting this
segment with all seriousness.
As the
competition war hot up, more and more discounts, freebies, better service and
improved quality are being assured. While Reliance Fresh is said to be offering
10-12 per cent price undercut along with an additional incentive of 1 per cent
against purchases through membership cards in a bid to keep its loyal customers
visiting regularly, Food Bazaar is offering freebies on purchases made above
Rs.499. Subhiksha, on the other hand, provide 8-10
per cent discount by managing a cost-cut on real estate space and overhead
expenditure.
In an
attempt to reduce operational costs, retailers are embracing technology more
often than not. Oracle is providing not only an easy solution for weighing and
billing processes but also making storage a better proposition by avoiding
in-house theft and fraud, which amounts to nearly $ 1.4 billion every year
according to a Pricewaterhouse Coppers estimate.
Players like
Trinethra believe that retailers who have been in the
market for a long period, definitely will have an edge over new entrants.
Because they are aware of the customer’s pulse --- after all the needs of the
customers in Malkajgiri and A.S.Rao
Nagar are very different from those of people in Banjara
Hills and Jubili Hills in Hyderabad.
Biggies in
the business do not feel that their presence is harming the interests of small
retail players. For, the market is growing by 10 per cent at about $ 24 to $ 25
billion (nearly Rs.1045 billion) every year. The share of organized retailing
in another 10 years could achieve 10-12 per cent in an estimated boom of over $
600 billion market, which is very meager.
Interestingly,
in the midst of hue and cry, the neighbourhood kirana store might just exist despite the big fish’s
threat. Their plus points are a laid-back ambience that the middle class and
the lower middle class feel comfortable. The happy pass-time of little Chinna, who run across to the neighborhood Venkaiah’s store for 25P chocolates is not about to change
anytime soon. The retail boom is, however, definitely poised for a podium
finish.
Industry
Status and FDI:
Foreign
Direct Investment (FDI) in retail has become a subject of hot debate once
again, thanks to the government’s recent announcement to allow 51 per cent FDI
in single brand retailing. The UPA-II government, headed by Dr. Manmohan Singh who incidentally authored India’s first
liberalization process during early nineties, and its oppositions, mainly the
left-combine, are in sharp disagreement; the issue is all about whether in the
larger interest of the country, the passage should be allowed.
The debate
has evoked unprecedented reactions from different quarters --- government,
farmers, middlemen and also consumers. A developing country like ours, where
problem of unemployment is of highest concern and where millions at the bottom
of the pyramid merely survive on small-time retailing, the entry of
multinational giants of the likes of Wal-Mart and Careefour
is expected to pose a huge challenge. It can be argued though, that the entry
of these MNCs could possibly chance enhancement of the scope for higher exports
of goods and at the same vain boost job prospects for millions of Indians.
In a recent
interactions with the students of Wharton School of the University of
Pennsylvania in the US that it was only a matter of time before India opened up
its $450 billion retail market to foreign investors. The statement came as a
great relief to foreign investors, who were perturbed by the remark of the then
commerce and industry minister Anand Sharma, who, in
the Incredible India @60 function in New York had expressed the government’s
reservation on opening up the sector to foreign investors.
“Industry
status has been a long standing demand of the retail sector. Besides, we aqlso want a relaxation in the budget on FDI norms, “Kumar Rajagopalan, chief executive, Reatilers
Association of India, said. Ecoing the similar views,
Koutons Retail India chairman DPS kohli
said, “No industry in India has grown without FDI participation and retail to
emerge as a big player, FDI should be allowed. Only then retailers be able to
fully enjoy the recurring benefits of the organized financing, insurance and
fiscal incentives”.
“In case if
the FDI norms are not relaxed in the budget, the government must clear the
prevailing ambiguity on FII and foreign PE funding route”, said Kohli.
A clarity in
the issue will help Indian retailers raise funds from abroad as the global
liquidity situation is now improving. Easing of FDI norms will bring much
needed funding and also bring competition.
Franchise
India chairman Gaurav Marya
urged the government to make special budgetary allocation to franchising
businesses in its small and medium enterprises(SMEs) from the finance allocated
to financial institutions. Today, there are about 3.5 Cr. SMEs of which nearly
2.3 Cr. Units constitute retail sector. Credit availability is a major hurdle
in the growth of franchising.
However,
Budget 2010-11 just disappointed the retail sector once again and did not
provide the expected relief, instead maintained the status quo.
As of now,
India allows 100% FDI in cash-and-carry and wholesale operations, besides 51%
FDI in single-brand retail. It is expected that the government is now seriously
considering in allowing 51 per cent cap on FDI in multi-brand retail too in
sectors like electronic goods, stationary, sports goods, office and building
equipments. India has been ranked World’s No.1 in the AT Kearney Global Retail
Index 2008 and according to the latest industry estimates, the organized and
unorganized retail market will grow to $580 billion by 2011 and $793 billion by
2015.
Given their
higher per capita income, meager rate of unemployment, extreme quality
consciousness etc., the industrialized countries are usually best positioned to
get the advantages of FDI in retail. The people concerned generally face time
constraints in their daily lives, and hence , look forward to a ‘single window
facility’ that can be conveniently experienced at any Wal-Mart chain or the
like shopping options.
Outsourcing
is a specific business need and an economic decision especially in retail
sector. The success of Wal-Mart, the US based world’s largest retailer, can be
assigned on its unambiguous outsourcing techniques being practiced for
virtually everything under the sun that come from few low-wage but quality
producing South Asian countries, mainly China. As a result, China’s exports
have shot up in geometric progressions and have become one of the world’s
choicest manufacturing destinations, generating suitable employment for
millions.
Today,
global retailers of different hues buy about $ 65 billion of manufactured goods
from China as compared to mere $ 1 billion from India. Proponents for FDI in
India would argue that gains for higher exports and mass employment are
possible here also in the event of a liberal policy on the MNCs entry are
ensured.
However,
many of us who think otherwise may find it acceptable that let those
multinational giants source their products from India without setting up shops
here. Could it be practical proposition? Any global retailing entity would
prefer to source their needs on a sustained basis only when they establish a
close linkage with local producers and suppliers. And that could be possible
only when they are allowed to open their stores within their operational
territory.
Once in,
they would be in a position to necessarily develop and control the supply
chain, which includes quality of input, manufacturing process, product
designing, standardization, and transportation as well as making changes in
product mix to suit varied requirements of their global consumers. Supply chain
and the infrastructure thus developed locally would provide surplus funds for
sales promotions achieved through the economies-of-scale. That is how China
managed to export goods worth about $ 20-22 billion to Wal-Mart alone, after
the retail giant was accommodated to open 100 per cent foreign-owned retail
stores since 2004.
The
Challenges and Opportunities Ahead:
The rising
scale of prevailing organized retailing and increasing competitions in India
will force new entrants in the sector to focus on structuring the whole
logistics and supply chain managements in improving productivity and provide a
better deal at lower prices and better quality to customers.
Some of the
challenges which need urgent attention in order to streamline the retail
markets are:
·Cultural and regional differences in India
are the biggest challenges confronting retailers. The economic, social and
cultural diversities of Indian consumers force marketers and retailers to view
this mass of consumers not as one single market but as a 'mass of niches'. The
language people speak, the religions they follow, the diversities of foods they
consume, the fabrics they wear and the festivals they usually celebrate change
every hundred kilometers. Logic and emotion, poverty and affluence, and the
past and the future simultaneously coexist in India. And all these paradoxes
converge to make India a unique retailing destination in the world.
·The entry of multinationals will push the
growth of hypermarket format as it is the best way the organized retailing
giants are able to compete with the unorganized retailers and dislodge them
from the stake.
·Displacement of labor and small shopkeepers
in unorganized sector is undoubtedly another area of serious concern. While the
ingress of foreign retailers may boost exports and also they may buy their
requirements directly from local farmers, invest in food processing and raise
the quality standards of agricultural outputs, it would simultaneously affect
the very livelihood of approximately 15 million small retailers spread across
the country. These unorganized ‘father and son’ stores constitute about 95 per
cent of the country’s retail trade and contribute about 12 per cent of the
gross domestic products. With the MNCs entry, many small retailers shall be
forced to go out of orbit and add to the ranks of the teeming millions of
unemployed and create further social tensions.
·Though the share of retailing in India's GDP
stands at 12 per cent, its share in employment is substantially very low i.e.,
only 6 per cent. Table 3 shows contributions of GDP and employment in India's
retailing industry in comparison with few important countries in the world.
While creating employment, these global retail giants would love to recruit
people who are educated, skilled and amenable to training. Small retailers may
not fit the bill. Besides they may be inclined to use more of technology over
manpower.
Table3: Contributions of Retail Industry to GDP and
Employment
Sr. No |
Country |
% Share in GDP |
% Share in
Employment |
1. |
USA |
9.4 |
16.8 |
2. |
Poland |
11.0 |
14.7 |
3. |
China |
8.0 |
12.0 |
4. |
India |
10.0 |
6..0 |
5 |
Brazil |
6.4 |
6.0 |
Source: CII-McKinsey Report, 2008
·There is no guarantee even that these MNCs
ultimately access products from
India, thus
boosting country’s exports potentials. They may take fancy to source it from
equally low-wage countries like Nepal, Thailand, Bangladesh or China. One can not be even dead sure that they will invest in food
processing, create an inventory management system and help our farmers sell
their produce directly to them and earn a better return. What happens when the
farmers are unable to meet their required standardization norms and fail to get
their produce passed? These questions must be addressed in clear terms before
taking a firm decision on the entire issue.
A summery of opportunities in support of for and against
opening up of retail trade are appended as under:
Opportunities |
Threats |
- Availability of quality products at a
compete- tive price. |
- Offshore brands occupy both markets and mind share of Indian consumers. |
- Priority development of agriculture and processed food industry. |
- India supplies cheap labors while top echelon is held by foreigners. |
- Enhanced employment avenues. |
- Profits are taken away by foreign nationals. |
- Inland tax revenue swells. |
- Small and medium industries take the burn in long run. |
- Logistics and supply chain management gets boost. |
- Manufacturing activities gets affected due to outsourcing. |
- Improved competitions and greater exports. |
- With large economies of scale, local brands can
not compete with low price offered by foreign companies. |
CONCLUSION:
Indian
retailing is clearly at a tipping point. Unlike the experiences in most other
countries, the growth of Indian retail is not going to be a staggered and time
consuming process. This nation has already shown the world how quickly and
efficiently it can adapt to hi-tech products and services and will again set a
record of sorts in setting up world class retail formats across the country in
no time. In the next five years or so, India will have retail entities strong
enough to compete with the best in the world.
Companies
need to develop ideas and solutions that are uniquely Indian. To be successful
in India, retailers have to blend the best practices, expertise and technology
that the world has to offer and synergies these with the demands and
expectations of the Indian consumers.
As the
indications are surfacing the government may further liberalize the entry norms
in retail industry by bringing down the cap in FDI from the existing 51 per
cent so as to enable more and more MNCs to venture into Indian retail industry.
This would invariably facilitate the availability of products of international
standards with competitive rates to the Indian customers. It creates further a
healthy revelry among local and international retailers to offer superior
quality products at reasonable rates. In the same vein, the government should
also encourage exports in the retail industry to provide a global and wider
platform for our Indian manufacturers and retailers.
Interestingly,
in the midst of hue and cry, the neighborhood kirana
store might just exist despite the big fish's threat. Their plus points are a
laid-back ambience that the middle class and the lower middle class feel
comfortable. The happy pass-time of little Chinna,
who run across to the neighborhood Venkaiah's store for a 25 paise
chocolate is not about to change anytime soon. The retail boom is, however, is
definitely poised for a podium finish.
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Received on 02.05.2010
Accepted on 20.05.2010
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Asian J. Management 1(1): Jan. – Mar. 2010 page 14-21