Investment Behaviour
of Middle Class Households: An Empirical Analysis.
Sanjay Kanti
Das
Lumding
College, Lumding, Nagaon,
Assam-782447
*Corresponding Author E-mail: sanjay19711123@rediffmail.com;
das.sanjaykanti@gmail.com
ABSTRACT:
Today’s
investor has a variety of options to choose from while making his/her
investment decision. Saving and investment behaviour has always been an area of
interest to the researcher. The economic cycles of boom, recession, depression and
recovery not only effect the level of GDP but also the income of the households
and hence the saving ratio and investment behavior. Keeping pace with the changing times and
under the liberalized financial sector regime, the financial institutions are
also decorated with innovative instruments to meet the growing demand of modern
investors. But this innovative and diversified financial system could not lost
the appeal of traditional means of investment. Through this study, an analysis
has been made into investment behaviour of middle class households of Nagaon districts of Assam. The rationale behind
choosing this study topic is the premise that the middle class in India has
gained attention of the economists, policy makers and the marketers, as still
there remains a considerable untapped potential in this income class of India.
The study has been conducted to answer few important questions on the
preference of the investment instruments and investment pattern of the middle
class households, to know the various objectives of investment of the middle
income class households and to know whether there has been any increase in
their savings and the reasons for the same. Investment is one of the major issues of the middle class families as
their small savings of today are to meet the expenses of tomorrow. This study
also examines the risk tolerance capacity and investment horizon along with
factors governing investment decisions. It is observed from saving and investment pattern
of the middle class income households in Nagaon
districts of Assam that Bank deposits (35.33%) are considered as the preferred
investment option among the middle class investor’s of the district. It is
further observed that all age groups marked highest preference towards bank
deposits and insurance investment so as to provide the benefit of safety and
security of their life and investment. Similar feeling of preference towards
investment in Bank deposits and insurance is also observed by all the
respondents with different income slabs. It was found that majority of the
respondents said that they look for tax
advantage and high returns while
investing in any instrument. Slight variations are also
observed when respondents are classified on age and income groups. Further, it
is observed that all the respondents marked interest towards medium term
investment. Only some respondents of high income group show keen interest to
build huge financial corpus. The study results brought out the fact that 71.33%
of the respondents have recorded that their savings have increased in past five
years. 31% of the households
said that their savings
have increased because of
increase in their
income which supports the
hypothesis that the
income and savings are directly related.
KEYWORDS: Investor’s Behaviour, Middle income class, Nagaon Districts of Assam, Perception of Investors, Risk
Tolerance.
The financial globalization of
the world economy has led to the integration of various financial markets of
the world.
Deeper financial markets and
strengthened prudential regulation of financial institutions help to enhance
saving and investment opportunities by offering a wider variety of financial
instruments to channel savings and also by providing more security by effective
regulation to investors.
Investment
markets are becoming more risky and each and every passing day makes investors
behave differently upon different market dynamics.
The basic
methods of market analysis (Fundamental, Technical and Quantitative) though are
playing an important role in investment decisions, the behavior of the
investors has become more important and hence the study “Behavioral Finance”
emerging and becoming the topic of various researches and studies. Behavioral
finance began as an attempt to understand why financial markets react
inefficiently to public information.
Structural changes have followed
the transformation of India in 1991 from a highly regulated and inward oriented
to an outward looking economy. Consequently, the state domination in many
spheres of activity is giving way to private sector. The service sector in
general and financial sector in particular has to play an important role in
this change. It is the development of the financial system, which resulted in a
sea change in financial transactions and transformed economics from stagnant and
backward position to dynamic and vibrant ones. This fact is also applicable in
case of state economy either in the form of high standard of living and low
inflation rate. In the various studies on the financial markets, it is observed
that the share of rural and semi-urban areas in both money and capital market
are too low. All of them suggested that for the balanced development of
financial market, taping of rural and semi-urban savings is necessary. The
regulatory and the development agencies are continuously trying to tap the
unexplored capital of these areas. In fact, some positive changes occur during
the years in these aspects. With the varied options available, investment is
like a cafeteria approach where one can chose as per the individual need. This
has resulted in more specialized products coming up in the market targeting
various sections of income group. Nevertheless, with these innovations, the
charm of investment in banks and property has not lost its vain.
NEED FOR STUDY:
This analysis on household Investors’ behaviour is an attempt to
know the profile of the investor and also know the characteristics of the
investors so as to know their preference with respect to their
investments. The study also tries to
explore the influence of demographic factors like age on risk tolerance level
of the investor. Different investors behave differently
in different market situation before investing like return, flexibility etc but
the markets will face a question mark in knowing the pulse of an investor. So a
study must be made on the demographics and psychographics of the investor such
that the market can know the pulse of an investor and can act upon it. Investor
behavior analysis deals with analyzing the behavior of an investor based on his
demographic and psychographic factors like age, gender and income groups. This
will reflect what would be a preferred portfolio of an investor at a particular
age, or income slab etc. This will be helpful to the stock brokers and
portfolio managers so that they can offer better portfolios to their investors.
This analysis will help to strengthen investor intimacy. This
analysis will also throw light on
various investment avenues
available in India
that will help
in many ways
like. The expectations of
different types of investors regarding particular service requirements can be
identified.
1.
This study will help in
gaining a better understanding of what an investor looks for in an investment
option.
2.
It can be used by the
financial sector in designing better financial instrument customized to suit
the needs of the investor.
3.
The common problem areas
faced by the investors can be understood.
4.
It also enhances new
services initiatives.
5.
It will also help the agents
and brokers in marketing the existing financial instruments.
6.
It will provide knowledge to
the investors about the various financial services provided by the company to
their investors.
7.
It will also help the
company to understand what is the requirement and expectations of different
categories of investors.
This analysis will be originated in order to empower the investors
with detailed study on various investments avenues available in India. The
awareness level of the investors about the various investment options and what
is the perception of the investors with regard to the investments they want to
make.
RESEARCH
OBJECTIVES:
The purpose of the analysis is to determine the investment
behaviour of middle class household investors and investment preferences for
the same. Keeping some specific considerations the study has the following
objectives
1. To know the preference of the
investment instruments of the middle class households.
2. To know the various objectives
of investment of the middle class households.
3.
To know the factors
that governs investment decision of the middle class households
4. To know whether there has been
any increase in savings and reasons for the same.
5. To
study the saving pattern of the individual household.
6. To
study the risk tolerance capacity of the selected investors.
7. To
give suggestions for evolving better investor awareness.
SAMPLE DESIGN:
According to the National Council
of Applied Economic Study (NCAES) in the Market Information Survey of
Households in association with Business
Standard in August
2005, the term “middle
class“ applies to those
earning between Rs.90,000
to Rs.10,00,000 a year.
The households are further divided into aspirers, middle- middle class and
upper middle class. The household’s whose annual income lies
between Rs. 90000 - Rs. 200000, have
been defined as aspirers, income between Rs. 2,00,000 to
Rs. 5,00,000 are middle -middle class and income between Rs.5,00,000 to Rs.
10,00,000 are classified as upper middle class. The same definition would
be used for this study and
the three strata
of the population would
be divided on the above criteria. The sample was also divided on the
basis of age in each sample to income group. Primary data was collected from
150 households which were selected from each of the three income slabs as
defined by NCAER. The sample has also been divided on the basis of the age of
the head of the household as under 35 years, 35-55 years and above 55 years.
This classification of the sample would help in an in-depth analysis of the
investment preference of the sample.
METHODOLOGY:
The present study is an
empirical study just to identify the presence, nature and preferences of the
households in Nagaon district of Assam about their
investment habits. The study area is featured by a good number of salaried,
professional and businessmen who have the ability to save and invest. Besides,
the study area is featured with all the facilities that are needed for
mobilizing and transmitting the idle savings. The study is based on personal
interviews of household heads, using a structured questionnaire. Actually, the
present study identifies the preferred investment avenues and investors
behaviour of the individual investors using self assessment test. The study was
conducted in the last part of 2011. The present study is based on primary
sources of data which are collected by distribution of a close ended
questionnaire to 180 respondents of the district head quarter out of which 150
respondents have replied. Moreover, special efforts are made to obtain
representation of all classes relevant to financial investment, as also of
livelihood of different households. The data has been analysed
using simple statistical tools and to access the significance/ association
between dependent variables is used which are processed by statistical
software.
However, the study covered a
wide range of question; factual questions about investment, questions about
perceptions and intentions, questions about investors own characteristics;
questions about preferred investment avenues etc.
LIMITATIONS OF THE
STUDY:
This analysis is based upon investor’s behaviour for investment
preferences. This analysis would be focusing on the information from the
investors about their knowledge, perception and behaviour on different
financial products.
The various limitations of the study
are:
·
The total number of
financial instruments in the market is so large that it needs a lot of
resources to analyze them all. Handling and analysing
such a varied and diversified data needs a lot of time and resources.
·
As the analysis is based on
primary as well as secondary data, possibility of factual information cannot be
avoided.
·
As this study is limited for
household sector the amount invested
for starting business or any other activity is not considered for the purpose
of the study.
·
Reluctance of the people to
provide complete information about them can affect the validity of the
responses.
·
The lack of knowledge of
customers about the financial instruments can be a major limitation.
·
This Study used only some factors
to analyze the factors effecting investment behavior of individual investor.
·
The survey is conducted only in
three towns of Nagaon of Assam.
REVIEW OF LITERATURE:
In this paragraph an effort is made to
review a number of studies that has been took place in India to examine the
investment habits and preferred investment avenues among the households. The
present study differs from earlier studies as it covers comparative, analytical
and empirical study on the investment habits and preferred investment avenues
of the middle class household in Nagaon districts of
Assam.
Psychological features
play an important role in
the individual investment decision process. The psychological characteristics
like risk taking ability and mental accounting relate to
households’ expectations, their
self-reported financial risk taking behaviour and their self-reported risk aversion are
some of the
important variables having an impact
on the investment
decision of an individual.
An understanding of
household portfolio allocation
may additionally go some way helping policymakers estimate the likely
impacts of various policy decisions such as change in the welfare payments and
the introduction of a consumption tax as evidenced by Dilnot
(1990) and Freebairn (1991). Somasundaram
(1998) has found that bank deposits and chit funds were the best known modes of
savings among investors and the least known modes were Unit Trust of India
(UTI) schemes and plantation schemes. Tamilkodi
(1983) has stated that small savings schemes have a psychological appeal and it
provides an opportunity for ordinary men, women, and even children to invest
their savings. Jayaraman (1987) has stated that
instead of issuing special bonds for unearthing black money the Government of
India can encourage investment of black money in various small savings schemes.
He further stressed the need to draft the assistance of voluntary agencies at
the school and college level for further mobilization of savings. Arangasami (1992) has observed that more and more
dependence on mobilization of resources through small savings will ensure and
promote self-reliance. The study by Mukhi (1989) has
revealed that NSC has been one of the most popular tax savings instruments in
this country. He has stated that contractor and others who have to provide
security while bidding for contracts finds it extremely convenient to buy NSC
and pledge these to the appropriate authorities while earning 12 per cent per
annum on the pledged securities. Rajarajan (1999)
studied the behaviour of Chennai investors and found that life cycle stage of
individual investors is an important variable in determining the size of the
investments in financial assets and the
percentage of financial assets in risky category. Gavini
and Athma (1999) found that social considerations,
tax benefits, and provision for old age were the reasons cited for saving in
urban areas, whereas to provide for old age etc. was the main reason in rural
areas. Among the post office schemes, Indira Vikas Patra (IVP), KVP and Post
Office Recurring Deposit Account (PORD) were the most popular, in both urban
and rural areas. SEBI-NCAER (2000) study
found that households’ investment in Shares and Debentures and in Mutual
Funds ranges from 7% to 9%.
Majority of the Equity investor households portfolio was found to be undiversified
and of relatively small value of less than Rs. 25000. It also found that one set of households, in
spite of their lower income and lower
penetration level of consumer
durables, are in the
securities market, while
another set of
household with higher income
and higher penetration level of consumer durables do not have investments in
securities market. Rajarajan (2000) in his study revealed that there
was an association between the lifestyle clusters and investment related
characteristics. Karthikeyan (2001) conducted study on small investor’s perception on Post office saving schemes and
found that there was significant difference
among the four age groups, in the level of awareness for Kisan Vikas Patra (KVP), National Savings Scheme (NSS), and Deposit Scheme for Retired Employees (DSRE).
The overall score confirmed that the
level of awareness among investors in the old age group was higher than in
those of younger age group. No differences were observed among male and female investors. Swarup (2003) studied on the decisions taken by the investors while
investing in the primary markets. In her study she indicated that investors
give importance to their own analysis as compared to their broker’s advice. Outlook Money-C fore survey (2004) of income tax payers in six cities-Bangalore, Chennai,
Delhi, Hyderabad, Kolkata and Mumbai
found that only
one-third of the respondents favoured
the option of pension funds investing in equity and an equal number if the
government guarantees the higher returns. The rest one-third rejected the
option, as it is ’too risky’. Kaneko (2004) focused on investment trusts and debated the behaviour of
individual investors and found that investment trusts are only the means of
managing assets. Byrne (2005) shows that risk
and investment experience tend to indicate a positive correlation. Past
experience of successful investment increases investor tolerance of risk.
Inversely, unsuccessful past experience leads to reduced tolerance to risk.
Therefore past investment behaviour affects future investment behaviour. Corter and Chen (2006) studied that investment experience
is an important factor influencing behaviour. Investors with more experience have relatively high risk tolerance
and they construct portfolios of higher
risk. The review of earlier studies focuses mainly on subject of performance of Mutual Funds and Portfolio of
Mutual Fund. The existing “Behavioural Finance” studies are very few and very little
information is available about
investor perceptions, preferences, attitudes and behaviour. All efforts in this direction are fragmented. Tamimi (2006) indentified the factors influencing the UAE investor
behaviour. Using questionnaire found six factors were most influencing factors
on the UAE investor behaviour namely expected corporate earnings, get rich
quick, stock marketability past performance of the firm’s stock , government
holdings and the creation of the organized financial markets. Ronay and Kim (2006) have pointed out
that there is no difference in risk
attitude between individuals of different gender, but between the groups, males indicate a stronger
inclination to risk tolerance. Gender difference
was found at an individual level, but in groups, males expressed a stronger pro-risk position than females. Tamrakar and
Mani (2007) studied the remarkable phase ‘1984-85 to 1995- 96’ of growth of
Indian economy. They substantiated the hypotheses that economic liberalization
did promote savings through economic growth. This study also revealed that life
insurance and provident/pension fund investments have also seen a rise may be
on account of increased awareness about the need to ensure and also increased
competition from the private sector. Davar and Suveera, (2007) in their paper on investment
decision making revealed that the class of investors with growing age develop
maturity and experience for making decisions about the usage of their surplus
and available funds in the light of overall economic needs of family. Another
empirical study conducted by Salam and Kusum (2008)
on savings behaviour in India, revealed that household sector savings provided
the bulk of national savings. The study reported that the share of total
household saving has gone up from 75.9 per cent in 1980-81 more than 86 per
cent in 2007-08.
Gupta (2008) the investment pattern among different groups in Shimla had revealed a clear as well as a complex picture.
The study showed that the more investors in the city prefer to deposit their
surplus in banks, post offices, fixed deposits, saving accounts and different
UTI schemes, etc. The attitude of the investors towards the securities in
general was bleak, though service and professional class is going in for
investment in shares, debentures and in different mutual fund schemes. Mittal and Vyas (2008) observed
that investors have certain cognitive and emotional weaknesses which come in
the way of their investment decisions. Over the past few years, behavioural finance researchers have scientifically shown
that investors do not always act rationally. Tripathi (2008) examines the perceptions, preferences and various
investment strategies in Indian stock market. Study reveals that investors use
both fundamental as well as technical analysis while investing in Indian stock
market. A report published by AMFI
(2009) brought about the fact that mutual fund investing by households has more
than doubled from 3.7 per cent in 2006 to 7.8 per cent in 2008 which shows a
shift of investors from traditional investments to mutual funds to earn better
returns. Ajmi (2008) used a questionnaire to know
determinants of risk tolerance of individual investors and collected responses
from 1500 respondents. He concluded that the men are less risk averse than
women, less educated investors are less likely to take risk and age factor is
also important in risk tolerance and also wealthy investors are more risk
tolerance than the less wealthy investors. Ang (2009)
examined the dynamic relationship between the domestic savings and investment
rates in India over the period 1950-2005 by controlling for the level of
financial liberalization. The results indicate that greater financial
liberalization enables more domestic resources to be channeled to investment
activities. Kabra et al. (2010) concluded that modern
investor is a mature and adequately groomed person. In spite of phenomenal
growth in the security market and quality Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) in
the market, the individual investors prefer investments according to their risk
preference. A majority of investors are found to be using some source and
reference groups for taking decisions.
Sultana (2010) concludes that the individual investor still prefers to
invest in financial products which give risk free returns. This confirms that
Indian investors even if they are of high income, well educated, salaried,
independent are conservative investors prefer to play safe. Szyszka (2011) in his study on efficient
market hypothesis to behavioural finance analysed how investor’s psychology changes the vision of
financial markets. He found that investors are not always able to correctly
value the utility of decision alternatives, cannot update and estimate
probability and even do not diversify properly. Bennet et al. (2011) concluded that the average value of the five
factors, namely, Return on Equity, Quality of Management, Return on Investment,
Price to Earnings Ratio and various ratios of the company influenced the
decision makers. Further, other five factors, namely, recommendation by
analysts, Broker and Study Reports, Recommended by Friend, Family and Peer,
Geographical location of the Company and Social Responsibility were given the
lowest priority or which had low influence on the stock selection decision by
the retail investors. Ali (2011) in
his study showed interest in examining the relationships between individual
investors perceived financial performance of companies and their trading
intentions, and the mediating effect of companies images on the relationships. Mohanta AND Debasish
(2011) studied that investors invest in different investment avenues for
fulfilling financial, social and psychological need. While selecting any
financial avenue they also expect other type of benefits like, safety and
security, getting periodic return or dividends, high capital gain, secured
future, liquidity, easy purchase, tax benefit, meeting future contingency etc.
Preference of the Investment
Instruments
To know the preference of the
selected middle class households, 4 point scale is designed viz. Most
Preferred, Relatively Preferred, Preferred, Relatively less Preferred, and
Least Preferred; and respondents were asked to provide due weightage
against the different investment avenues. It is observed from the Table 1 that
Bank deposits is considered the preferred investment avenues (35.33%) followed
by Insurance and small savings and so on. The least preferred investment
avenues include real estate (40%) and other investments (36%). The aggregate
results of the
investment options marked by the
respondents show that
Insurance remains the most preferred investment option of the middle
class households in Nagaon at
34.67% respondents marking it as the
most preferred investment option. This is followed by the
Small savings where 28.67% respondents marked it as relatively preferred
investment option. The reason for these two being the top two preferences of
the middle class income households is the relative security in built in these
instruments and these being traditional saving instruments of the investment.
Bank deposits (35.33%) are the third preferred investment option as these are
again secure even though the return from these investments is less. Share and
mutual funds (40%) are gaining ground
but remain at
the fourth position
as these are relatively new and the
investors are worry of the uncertain return. Other investment avenues
are considered as the least preferred among the middle class households of Nagaon of Assam.
Ranking
of the investment avenues
It can be
seen in the Table 2 that bank deposits with a total score of 318 points, stood
in the first place. These are followed by insurance with total score of 260
points in the second place, and Small savings with 172 points in the third
place. Next to these investment products, Shares and Mutual funds, with 156
points in the fourth place, real estate with 120 points are in sixth place. At
the same time securities like other investments are placed at the end. Real estate and other investments are the least preferred
investment option of the middle class income households
in Nagaon.
The apparent reasons behind this can be the non-liquidity associated
with this investment options and the greater amount of money required for investing in real
estate. Again, other investments are less preferred because of lack of
marketability, liquidity, safety and reliability.
Table
1: Preference of the Investment
Instruments
|
Bank Deposits |
Insurance |
Small Savings |
Shares and Mutual Funds |
Real Estate |
Others |
||||||
f |
%age |
f |
%age |
f |
%age |
f |
%age |
f |
%age |
f |
%age |
|
Most Preferred |
26 |
17.33 |
52 |
34.67 |
38 |
25.33 |
12 |
8.00 |
10 |
6.67 |
13 |
8.67 |
Relatively Preferred |
36 |
24.00 |
34 |
22.67 |
43 |
28.67 |
16 |
10.67 |
18 |
12.00 |
16 |
10.67 |
Preferred |
53 |
35.33 |
34 |
22.67 |
36 |
24.00 |
26 |
17.33 |
16 |
10.67 |
25 |
16.67 |
Relatively less Preferred |
23 |
15.33 |
24 |
16.00 |
28 |
18.67 |
52 |
34.67 |
46 |
30.67 |
42 |
28.00 |
Least Preferred |
12 |
8.00 |
6 |
4.00 |
5 |
3.33 |
44 |
29.33 |
60 |
40.00 |
54 |
36.00 |
Ranks Order (From % age) |
I |
II |
IV |
III |
VI |
VII |
||||||
Source : Author |
Table
2: Investor Preference of Investment Avenues-Weighted Score
Ranks |
Bank Deposits |
Insurance |
Small Savings |
Shares and Mutual Funds |
Real Estate |
Others |
Most Preferred |
156 |
260 |
152 |
36 |
20 |
13 |
Relatively Preferred |
216 |
170 |
172 |
48 |
36 |
16 |
Preferred |
318 |
170 |
144 |
78 |
32 |
25 |
Relatively less Preferred |
138 |
120 |
112 |
156 |
92 |
42 |
Least Preferred |
72 |
30 |
20 |
132 |
120 |
54 |
Order of Ranks of
Investment Avenues |
Preferred |
Most Preferred |
Relatively Preferred |
Relatively less Preferred |
Least Preferred |
Least Preferred |
Source : Author |
|
Age, income and asset choice
Whether the asset choice
structures vary with respect to age is analysed in
the Table 3. Relative frequencies and
percentages of households holding a type of asset as a function of three age
groups are summarized and interpreted.
Age wise
It is observed that the most
preferred mode of investment for the households is the bank deposits among all
age groups under study. However the
respondents in the oldest age category (52%) of the respondents marked bank
deposits as most preferred investment
instrument and this preference declines to 39% in case of the
younger age group. This preference can be explained by an age or life-cycle
effect on the one hand: older individuals might favour
this type of investment as it is very safe and does not exhibit any price
volatility. On the other hand, it might be the result of a cohort effect: older
cohorts grew up with savings accounts as
the major savings
instrument whereas younger generations are also familiar with
newer types of financial investments. The age structure of the investor in
insurance is probably explained by a life-cycle effect as life insurances are
most likely to be found among lower and middle- aged households. Again, many of
the youngest respondents do not
have sufficient income
to invest, while for
the majority of older households
life insurances have already been disbursed. These are the reasons for
which Insurance investment is considered as relatively preferred one by all the
age groups. Share and Mutual Funds are considered as the preferred investment
by all the age groups. Small savings is considered as the Relatively less
Preferred investment options by middle and higher age groups while it is least
preferred by the younger age groups.
Income wise
It is observed from the Table 4
that choices of assets are classified by income shows a much more uniform
pattern than the asset choice by age. It is further observed that the bank
deposits and insurance are the most preferred investment and relatively
preferred investment instruments
respectively for all the income
groups; however, inconsistency is seen in preference in shares and mutual
funds, real estate and small saving schemes. Generally, wealthier households
are more likely to hold any type of
financial or retirement
savings asset. Again, the lower
and middle income groups prefer small savings while shares and mutual fund
schemes are preferred by higher income class household investors. Further,
lower income groups and middle income group’s shows relatively less preferred
investment while high income group’s shows relatively less preferred towards
real estate and other investment avenues. Finally, real estate and other
investment avenues are considered as least preferred by the respondents belongs
to lower and middle income class, whereas small savings is considered as less
preferred investment by high income groups.
Objectives of Investment
Psychological features
play an important role in
the individual investment decision process. The psychological
characteristics like risk taking ability and mental accounting relate to
households’ expectations, their
self-reported financial risk taking behaviour and their self-reported
risk aversion. Evidence for the
hypothesis of Haliassos and Bertaut
(1995) observed that individuals seem to
depart from expected utility
maximization plays an important role here. In standard expected utility
maximization, risk averse agents are willing to take risk for the benefit of
higher expected returns; the more
the agent is risk averse,
the higher the expected return has to be in order to
compensate for risk. The respondents were given the choice of seven options to
know the objectives of the investment that they make or features that they look
for while deciding to invest in any investment instrument. It was found from
Table 5 that majority of the respondents said that they look for tax advantage
while investing in any instrument. Second most looked in feature is high
returns. This is mainly to conserve the value of money and the inflation rate
in the economy. Third most looked in feature is the liquidity and marketability
in any investment instrument. These respondents prefer to have access to their
investments and don’t want to hold their investments for long. An income wise division
of the result brings
to the inconsistency in
behaviour of the
income groups with respect to these features. It is further
observed that lower income groups show their keen interest towards liquidity
and marketability while the middle and higher income household shows interest
to get tax advantage. Further, all income groups’ shows the second level of
investment objectives towards high returns except higher level income groups
who opted for income generation. Liquidity and marketability is another
objective of investment and it is considered as third level of choice among all
income groups. Income generation is leveled as 4th important
objective by all the respondents. Capital appreciation, Risk and wealth
diversification and risk perception etc are considered other objectives of
investment but they ranks at the bottom level.
Table 3: Age Structure of Asset
Choice (In percentage)
|
Under
35 years |
35-55
years |
Above
55 years |
|||||||||||||||
1 |
II |
III |
IV |
V |
VI |
1 |
II |
III |
IV |
V |
VI |
1 |
II |
III |
IV |
V |
VI |
|
A |
39 |
11 |
16 |
10 |
19 |
05 |
38 |
18 |
15 |
9 |
14 |
6 |
52 |
4 |
14 |
7 |
16 |
7 |
B |
13 |
36 |
23 |
06 |
16 |
06 |
19 |
28 |
20 |
15 |
13 |
5 |
22 |
28 |
15 |
13 |
16 |
6 |
C |
15 |
21 |
25 |
20 |
11 |
08 |
17 |
24 |
25 |
14 |
13 |
7 |
7 |
24 |
29 |
23 |
9 |
8 |
D |
14 |
20 |
18 |
19 |
22 |
07 |
11 |
21 |
18 |
23 |
16 |
11 |
9 |
20 |
18 |
24 |
19 |
10 |
E |
06 |
10 |
15 |
36 |
27 |
06 |
9 |
4 |
19 |
28 |
32 |
8 |
5 |
12 |
14 |
31 |
33 |
5 |
1= Bank Deposits, II =
Insurance, III= Shares and Mutual Funds, IV = Small Savings, V = Real Estate,
VI= Others; A= Most Preferred ,B= Relatively Preferred ,C= Preferred , D= Relatively less Preferred
,E= Least Preferred ; Source : Author |
Table 4: Income Structure of
Asset Choice
Ranks |
Rs. 90000- Rs. 2 Lakhs |
Rs. 2 lakhs
– Rs. 5 Lakhs |
Rs. 5 lakhs
– Rs.10 lakhs |
A |
Bank Deposits |
Bank Deposits |
Bank Deposits |
B |
Insurance |
Insurance |
Insurance |
C |
Small Savings Schemes |
Small Savings Schemes |
Shares and Mutual Funds |
D |
Shares and Mutual Funds |
Shares and Mutual Funds |
Real Estate, and Others |
E |
Real Estate, and Others |
Real Estate and Others |
Small Savings Schemes |
A= Most Preferred ,B=
Relatively Preferred ,C= Preferred ,
D= Relatively less Preferred ,E= Least Preferred; Source : Author |
Table 5: Objectives of
Investment
Objectives |
Total |
Rs. 90000 Rs. 2 Lakhs |
Rs. 2 lakhs
Rs. 5 Lakhs |
Rs. 5 lakhs
Rs.10 lakhs |
||||
f |
%age |
f |
%age |
f |
%age |
f |
%age |
|
High Returns |
24 |
16.00 |
7 |
20.00 |
8 |
16 |
9 |
13.85 |
Low risk |
20 |
13.33 |
5 |
14.29 |
7 |
14 |
8 |
12.31 |
Liquidity and marketability |
21 |
14.00 |
8 |
22.86 |
6 |
12 |
7 |
10.77 |
Income Generation |
20 |
13.33 |
6 |
17.14 |
4 |
8 |
10 |
15.38 |
Capital appreciation |
14 |
9.33 |
2 |
5.71 |
5 |
10 |
7 |
10.77 |
Risk and wealth
diversification |
14 |
9.33 |
5 |
14.29 |
3 |
6 |
6 |
9.23 |
Tax advantage |
37 |
24.67 |
2 |
5.71 |
17 |
34 |
18 |
27.69 |
Total |
150 |
100 |
35 |
100 |
50 |
100 |
65 |
100 |
Source : Author |
Investment Horizon
Investor psychology plays an
important role in determining the time
period for which they wish to make an investment. The respondents were asked
to give their investment horizon
which will help to understand the psychology of the investor behind any
investment decisions that they make. This can also help in offering the
investment options to the investors by the companies and formulate relevant
government policies. It was revealed
from the study that
the middle class income households in Nagaon have an investment horizon of medium term or in
other words that they wish to get back their
investments in a medium
term time. The
reasons behind this behaviour can be that they either don’t wish to part
away with liquidity for longer time period or they are not very sure of the investment
decision that they
have taken. An income group
disparity is again
noticed where building a huge
financial corpus is marked
only one by middle income groups
and only eight respondents of high level income groups under study. It is observed from Table 6 that all income
groups marked medium term (38.67%) as the preferred one, while least preference
leveled against building huge financial corpus (6%) and long term (27.33%).
Lower level income groups marked highest preference towards short term
investment (45.71%) and middle income level groups marked preference towards
medium term (42%) and higher level income groups marked in favour
of long term investment (40%). However, high income groups level equal
preference towards short and building huge financial corpus (12.31%).
Factors
Governing Investment Decision
It is
necessary to know the actual purpose of the investment and factor affecting the
decision at the time of investing as it will help to pitch the right customer
at right time with the right product of right amount. A successful marketer
will keep all these aspect in the mind and will bring the new and innovative
products that will solve the investors problems related to security, return,
growth etc. Different investors value the attributes in different ratio and if
one are able to know about them than it becomes easy to turn such investor as
our customer.
The
interpretation of the collected results shows that security of money (22.67%)
and tax saving (22%) is the major concern one sees while investing. It is
further observed from the Table 7 that female investors mainly concerned with
security (25%) while male investors mainly concerned with Tax benefits
(22.55%). Thus, new financial products should be secure and provide investor
with tax saving benefit. In essence security and tax advantage are the major
concern before investing and simplicity in investment and liquidity are ranked
lowest factor in investment decisions. Fixed return, lock in period and growth
is though the main areas of concern to evaluate investor’s investment proposal
but these factors ranked after security and tax advantage factors. However,
investors at the time of investment do not think much on liquidity and marketability, procedure for investment etc.
Table 6: Investment Horizon
Income Level |
Short Term |
Medium Term |
Long Term |
Building Huge Financial Corpus |
Total |
|||||
f |
%age |
f |
%age |
f |
%age |
f |
%age |
f |
%age |
|
Total |
42 |
28 |
58 |
38.67 |
41 |
27.33 |
9 |
6.00 |
150 |
100 |
Rs. 90000- Rs. 2 Lakhs |
16 |
45.71 |
14 |
40.00 |
5 |
14.29 |
0 |
0.00 |
35 |
23.33 |
Rs. 2 lakhs
– Rs. 5 Lakhs |
18 |
36.00 |
21 |
42.00 |
10 |
20.00 |
1 |
2.00 |
50 |
33.33 |
Rs. 5 lakhs
– Rs.10 lakhs |
8 |
12.31 |
23 |
35.38 |
26 |
40.00 |
8 |
12.31 |
65 |
43.33 |
Source : Author |
Table
7: Major Concern while Investing
Factors |
Male |
Female |
Total |
|||
f |
%age |
f |
%age |
f |
%age |
|
Security |
22 |
21.57 |
12 |
25.00 |
34 |
22.67 |
Tax Saving |
23 |
22.55 |
10 |
20.83 |
33 |
22.00 |
Fixed Return |
15 |
14.71 |
8 |
16.67 |
23 |
15.33 |
Growth |
11 |
10.78 |
5 |
10.42 |
16 |
10.67 |
Liquidity and marketability |
8 |
7.84 |
6 |
12.50 |
14 |
9.33 |
Simple Procedure |
10 |
9.80 |
4 |
8.33 |
14 |
9.33 |
Low lock in Period |
13 |
12.75 |
3 |
6.25 |
16 |
10.67 |
Total |
102 |
100 |
48 |
100 |
150 |
100 |
Source: Primary Data |
Change in Savings and Investment Pattern
To ascertain whether the savings of the households have changed over the selected time period of
five years, the respondents were asked to marked their answers for whether
there has been an increase in their saving in the last five years. They were
also asked to give the reasons for the change in the savings. It is observed
from the Table 8 that the percentage of respondents reporting an increase in
saving rates is also increasing with progression in income. The study results
brought out the fact that 71.33% of the respondents have recorded that their
savings have increased in past five years.
Reasons for increase in savings
It was found out from Table 9
that 31% of the households said that their savings have increased because of
increase in their income which supports the hypothesis that the income AND
savings are directly related. It can be inferred that when the savings of the
households increase their capacity to save increases or the marginal propensity
to save is increasing with an increase in income. The second important reason
behind the increased savings is the increased need to save by these households
which is basically due to the structural change in the Indian economy. The growth of GDP in the economy brings a direct
impact on saving rate of the country. The third reason for increase in savings
is the new and attractive investment
options available to the
households The economic liberalization and the opening of the financial markets have
brought in foray
many novel investment instruments which
has encouraged the
people to start investing in these new instruments.
The study also probed in knowing
what has brought about the change in the investment pattern of the middle class
income households in Nagaon. The study pointed out that 52% of the
respondents said that positive change in income has been the prime reason for
the change in their investment pattern
as depicted in Table 11. This response
supports the earlier results that that for
majority of households in the sample the savings rate have increased and
that too mainly due to increase in the income. The second reason cited by the
respondents is the change in government policies which has also influenced the
investment pattern of
the households. The
financial liberalisation of
the Indian economy
due to which
the financial market saw
an influx of
new investment instruments which
has made
the households to
invest in these instruments. In
any market economy,
the banking and financial
system plays a key role in mobilising a society’s savings and in channelising these
savings into productive uses and
investments. In providing an
efficient and rigorous
process for intermediating the
flow of a society’s savings into productive uses, the banking and
financial system is one of the core determinants of
the pace of
a country’s economic development and increase in the standards of living of its citizens. The government of Indian by liberalising
the banking and insurance sector has influenced the investment pattern of the
households in India. The
progressive steps taken
by the government for the development of
the Indian security
market like the dematerialization of securities, giving
more power to SEBI has also build the
confidence of the investors which has made them shift from
traditional to non-traditional saving
instruments or in other words we have
seen an increased share of the financial savings in the total household
savings. The following Table 11 gives the result of the respondents for their
reasons to change their investment pattern.
Table 8: Opinion about Increase
in Savings
Income group |
In
Percentage |
|
Yes |
No |
|
Rs. 90000- Rs. 2 Lakhs |
55 |
45 |
Rs. 2 lakhs
– Rs. 5 Lakhs |
79 |
21 |
Rs. 5 lakhs
– Rs.10 lakhs |
80 |
20 |
Total |
71.33 |
28.67 |
Source : Author |
Table 9: Reasons for Increase in
Savings
Reasons
for Increase in Savings |
Percentage |
Increase in savings |
28% |
Increase in household income |
31% |
Reduction in liability |
17% |
Attractive Saving/ investments
options |
24% |
Source: Author |
Table 10: Change in Investment Pattern
Change in Investment Pattern |
Yes |
60% |
No |
40% |
|
Source : Author |
Table11:Reasons
for
the Change in Investment Pattern
Reasons
for Change in Investment Pattern |
Percentage |
Undesired
rate of return from previous investments |
11% |
Change
in Economy |
5% |
Change
in awareness level |
2% |
Change
in Income |
52% |
Change
in Govt. policy |
30% |
Source : Author |
Even though the investment
pattern of the investor’s of the middle class income households has changed but
still 76% of the respondents wish to change their current portfolio of the
assets (Table 12).
Table 12: Plans to Change
the Investment Pattern
Plan to Bring Change |
Yes |
No |
76% |
24% |
|
Source : Author |
It was realised
that the study must also find out that how do the middle class households in Nagaon take their investment decisions. This would reflect
whether there is any scope of improvement in their investment behavior. It is
observed from Table 13 that 42% of the respondents have reported that they take
investment decisions on their own whereas 20% respondents reported that they
are influenced and motivated by friends and relatives and other 18% of the
respondents take professional help
in making their investment choices.
Table 13: Investment Decisions
Investment
Decisions |
Percentage |
Promotion |
11% |
Word
of mouth |
9% |
Professional
help |
18% |
On
your own |
42% |
Friends
and relatives |
20% |
Source : Author |
Risk
Tolerance of Different Age Group
From the Table 14 it is observed that 25% of Investors between the
age group of under 35 yrs came under low risk category, where as the percentage
of investors who came under low risk in the age group of 35-55 yrs has
increased to 32.69% and it is further rose to 34.62% as and when the age of
investor increases. Similar trend is also observed in case of medium risk, but
inverse relation between age and risk tolerance is observed in case of high
risk.
From the observed facts, we can conclude that there is a strong
inverse or negative relationship between risk tolerance and age group, but all
age group marked medium risk as ideal one and hence voted highly towards medium
risky investments.
When Karl Pearson’s correlation coefficient is calculated, it is
found to be -0.74 by which we can conclude that there is a strong negative
correlation between age and risk tolerance. Age accounts for the major
differences in risk taking decisions by the investors. The older an investor,
the better seemed his/her performance in comparison to the younger ones. Over-
confidence in their own investment ability among the youngsters largely
accounts for the excessive trading among younger investors leading to lower
returns and this direct to decline in the risk tolerance level.
CONCLUSION:
The saving and investment
pattern of the middle class income households in Nagaon
can be summarized that the bank deposits remain the most popular instrument of
investment followed by insurance and small saving scheme with
maximum number of respondents investing in these fixed
income bearing option. Insurance remains
the most preferred
investment option of the middle
class income households in Nagaon with 34.67%
respondents marking it
as the most preferred investment
option. This is followed by the
small saving where 28.67% respondents marked it as relatively preferred
investment option. Bank deposits (35.33%) are considered as
the preferred investment option among the middle class investor’s of the
district. It is further observed that all age groups marked highest preference
towards bank deposits and insurance investment so as to provide the benefit of
safety and security of their life and investment. Similar feeling of preference
towards investment in Bank deposits and insurance is also observed by all the
respondents with different income slabs. It was found that majority of the
respondents said that they look for tax
advantage and high returns while
investing in any instrument. Slight variations are also
observed when respondents are classified on age and income groups. Further, it
is observed that all the respondents marked interest towards medium term
investment. Only some respondents of high income group show keen interest to
build huge financial corpus. The study results brought out the fact that 71.33%
of the respondents have recorded that their savings have increased in past five
years. 31% of the households
said that their savings
have increased because of
increase in their
income which supports the
hypothesis that the
income and savings are directly related.
Table 14: Risk Tolerance of
Age Wise
Level of Risk |
Total |
Under
35 years |
35-55
years |
Above
55 years |
Correlation
Coefficient |
||||
No. |
%age |
No. |
%age |
No. |
%age |
No. |
%age |
||
Low Risk |
48 |
32 |
13 |
25 |
17 |
32.69 |
18 |
34.62 |
r = - 0.74 |
Medium Risk |
55 |
36.67 |
15 |
28.30 |
18 |
33.96 |
22 |
41.51 |
|
High Risk |
47 |
31.33 |
17 |
37.78 |
15 |
33.33 |
15 |
33.33 |
|
Total |
150 |
100 |
45 |
30 |
50 |
33.33 |
55 |
36.67 |
|
Source: Author |
This study confirms the earlier
findings with regard to the relationship between age and risk tolerance level
of individual investors. The Present
study has important
implications for investment managers
as it has
come out with
certain interesting facets
of an individual investor. The individual investor
still prefers to invest in financial products which give risk free
returns. This confirms that
Indian investors even if they are of high income,
well educated, salaried,
independent are conservative investors prefer to play safe. The investment
product designers can design products which can cater to the investors who are
low risk tolerant and use safe channel as a marketing avenues.
DIRECTIONS
FOR POLICY FRAMING:
The study results bring out the
fact that the saving habits of the selected households of the middle class are
good but they don’t want to save for long term or build a financial
corpus. This implies
that these savings
would not be available to the nation for a long period of time and hence can’t be
put to use for mobilisation of projects which have long gestation
period. Therefore the policies
should be framed in such manner that these households are willing to part away
with their consumption for a longer period of time. The tax incentives should
be designed in manner that the middle class are encouraged to save. This would
also help in achieving
the objective of financial inclusion which may be defined
as the process of ensuring access to
financial services and
timely and adequate credit where
needed by vulnerable groups such as weaker sections and low income groups
at an affordable cost. It was
also found during the
study that the tax advantage and security in
any investment takes the first and second place respectively in the minds of the investor. The investors look
for tax relief and security rather than high returns and liquidity of the
instrument. This clearly indicates that the respondents are invested on the
principle of compulsion not autonomous and saving instruments other than bank
deposits and insurance do not make any significant mark in the mind of middle
class investors’. Tax benefit, Security AND safety, high returns, liquidity and
so on are the common pattern of order of investment objectives among the
respondents. Therefore, it may be opined
that the investors are still watching to get a strong secured and safe
investment market in India. There is also a need for increasing the financial
literacy of the middle class income households.
It was found that the asset choice of all the age groups doesn’t differ
much as all respondents favoured insurance and bank
deposits as the preferred instruments of investment. It thus needs to be
explained to the middle class households that the financial needs and
objectives at different ages of life are also different; therefore the asset
choice should be made keeping in mind their age group. The younger age group
has the capacity to take more exposure in asset choice than the older age
group. Such financial literacy
would help in further improving the
depth of the capital market in India, which would enable Corporate India to
have access to larger pool of funds. The study results also illustrate that
majority of the respondents of the selected middle class households take
investment decision on
their own. The
government initiatives in this direction would help the investors to
take more sound investment
decisions which would
in turn improve the degree of
sophistication that households bring to
bear in their
saving and investment
decisions. The government should
also design policy to make people invest in various instruments rather than
stashing cash at home.
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