Effect of NPAs on Financial Performance of Public Sector Banks in India: A Study of Changing Scenario

 

Dr. Manminder Singh Saluja1, Ms. Sweta Sharma2

1Assistant Professor (Senior Scale), International Institute of Professional Studies, Devi Ahilya University, Indore

2Student MBA (MS) 2 Yrs, International Institute of Professional Studies, Devi Ahilya University, Indore

*Corresponding Author E-mail:  m.saluja@iips.edu.in, sweta.29.95@gmail.com

 

ABSTRACT:

Banks last year had either taken a hit on their profits or incured losses to accommodate the NPA Cleanup. NPA refers to the Non-Performing Assets which are created if a loan or advance is not paid for 90 days. The purpose of this research is to identify the effect of NPAs on financial performance of Public Sector Banks. As the need to eliminate the proliferating NPAs in financial accounts of Public sector banks has increased, the impact that it will have on their financial performance is unanswered yet. In this study, we have made an effort to find out the estimated effect of NPA on the Public sector banks. Regression models were used to find out the relationship between ROA of banks and their NPAs together with macro variables. The findings from this study shows that NNPA as percentage of total advances and as a percentage of total assets is having a high elasticity i.e. value of elasticity greater than one – inversely proportionate with Return on Assets for UCO Bank and lowest inversely proportionate elasticity (-0.06) for Bank of Maharashtra among the top 10 stressed PSU banks. This confirms an inverse relationship of NPA with ROA, which affirms that escalating NPA will slack the profitability of these banks in near future. This can iron out with the NPA reconstruction. The NPA reconstruction will result in short run denting on profitability, but will be beneficial for their growth and expansion in the long run.

 

KEY WORDS: NPA, Return on Assets, PSU Banks, RBI, Cleanup

 

 


INTRODUCTION:

Banking sector plays an imperative role in the cohesion of the economy. It serves as the backbone of the nation's economy. The banking industry in India has a glorious last three decades history that supplemented various achievements. It has alleged many financial restorations in last few decenniums. These developments had positioned Indian banking system at 6th position in developing countries of the World.

 

Nationalisations of banks in 1969 and in 1980 resulted in the creation of a powerful banking system that created history and was indeed a foundation for the current banking system. Banks were nationalised in order to authorise the government control over them. India endorsed a mixed economic model for the largely destitute and agricultural population. The banking sector was principally concentrated to urban areas, educated and the financially higher-class people. The ordinary rural Indian man still confides on the local moneylender and are oppress through the high-interest rate, draconian mortgage rules, and slavery. Private bank that usually prioritized profit did not venture beyond the urban and high-class market. The basic idea behind nationalisation was to broaden the population admittance for banking and financial facilities. This stringent control led to diminish the lack of competition among the banks and high intermediate cost, under-lending, corruption and bureaucratic lethargy. Private sector banks fundamentally the smaller one of the Indian origin were allowed to continue after the nationalisation of the banks. Financial reforms or government's liberalization-privatization-globalization policy helped Indian banking system to cultivate rapidly before granting permission to private banks and foreign banks for carrying on their business in India. Entry barriers were concentrated, which captivated the foreign and private banks to penetrate the Indian banking sector. Banking sector reforms adhered in two phases the one in 1991-92 and the other after 1998.

 

The financial crisis of the year 2007-08 had a major brunt of recession worldwide. The impact of the recession on one place/industry spilled over to all the linked industries. This was witnessed, as the collapse of US market had a negative impact on world's economy. The impact of the world recession marked the very experience of falling stock prices, recession in jobs, retrenchment of employees, dispatching of perquisites and salaries. This global recession affected different economics of the World. The responsibility for this global financial crisis could be fixed onto the parties including regulators, credit rating agencies, borrowers, accountants, and bankers. However, bad borrowers were mainly responsible for the mentioned crisis.

 

The turbulence in the global banking industry pushed up the discussion on handling the problem of bad loans with firmness, creativity and aptness. In 2014, the former governor of Reserve Bank of India came up with the idea of cleaning the non-performing assets from the balance sheets of all the Indian Banks. In late 2015, RBI issued a list of 150 largest accounts facing problems in their debt servicing and asked the lenders to perceive these accounts as non-performing assets or bad loans. RBI gave two-quarters’ time to banks for recognising the losses hitting banks with ₹70,000 crores to cover for these reverses. The banks declared over ₹8 trillion of their assets as stressed until March 2016 with NPAs crossing 7.6%.

 

Former governor of Reserve Bank of India, Dr. Raghuram Rajan expected banks to clean up their balance sheets in terms of stressed assets by the end of March 2017. Banks are to show their bad, stressed or the non-performing assets in the balance sheet to intensify the accuracy. The new RBI NPA guidelines forced banks to undertake the courage for the cleanup. Some have gone above what was expected of them by not only disclosing their real NPA values but also reconstituted their previous balance sheets to the new format.The banks now have to find out various ways to restructure some of the relevant high NPA accounts which would make them healthy for a longer period. One of the ways to eliminate NPA in a particular bank is that one should make the provision for the same. These provisions will certainly help in clearing even a single trail of NPA in a bank but eventually, it will take the time to do so. In 1997, when the gross NPA touched 15.4%, it took 9 years for the NPA rate to fall below 5% with SARFESI act and Asset Reconstruction Companies but maybe in this time context, the span will be less due to the new contriving policies of RBI. The profitability of some banks will debilitate in the short run but the cleaned system will be able to support the economic growth in an imperishable and cost-effective way.

 

LITERATURE REVIEW:

The financial reforms implemented in India had varied impact on the efficiency of the banking sector. The banking sector showed a high degree of inefficiency in the initial post-reform period (Bhattacharya and Pal, 2013). The subsequent reforms in the banking sector have improved its performance in terms of business per employee, profit per employee, capital and reserves and surplus, deposits, investments, advances, interest and other incomes (Arumugam and Selvalakshmi, 2014), but the performance dwindled in the middle of 2007-08 with global financial crisis The Euro-crisis did not affect the capital adequacy ratio of banks. However, it had an impact in terms of fluctuating credit growth, deposit growth and net interest margin with a manageable impact on the return on assets (Sharma and Panwar, 2014). The liquidity of banking industry as a whole reduced during the crisis period and banking industry got severely affected on asset quality and profitability parameter (Govil and Tripathi, 2014).Foreign and private banks were way ahead of their performance level but there are chances for them to improve their performance if they overcome their challenges (Koundel, 2012). Foreign banks perform better as compared to national and domestic private banks (Tzeremes, 2015). Also on account of performance during the crisis period, cooperative banks performance was more satisfactory than that of the entire banking industry during the global financial crisis (Gautam and Bhatis, 2011). Although cooperative banks play a vital role in rural areas via inclusion of people with little savings and finances, still they are not working well based on financials (Agrawal and Solanke, 2012).The improvement in financial performance and health is well established in the urban cooperative sector. It is important to initiate the revival of the cooperative sector in long run (Renuka and Elamathi, 2013). Suggestions drawn from various studies, for instance highlights, that banks should use the modern techniques of banking, should plan schemes to appeal new customers and gratifying the present ones, thereby increasing the overall customer experience along with parallel expansion of branches (Usha, 2013). NPA clean-up is an enormous step for the advancement of Indian banking system as well for enduring the economy, for which, a critically strong legal and legislative framework should be used. Changes that are required to tackle the problem would have to span by the entire gaument of Judiciary, polity and bureaucracy (Reddy, 2002). NPAs affects significantly to the performance of banks and factors like better credit culture, managing risk and business conditions leads to lowering of NPAs (Rajput et al., 2012). Interest rates spread affects non-performing assets in bank and it also increases the cost of the loan charged on the borrowers (Collins and Wanjau, 2011). As the NPA level of the banks has increased over time, the risk associated with them are increasing too. NPA should be controlled in order to avoid serious consequences in the future (Selvarajan and Vadivalagan, 2013).The magnitude of NPA is comparatively higher in public sector banks and to improve the efficiency and profitability of banks, NPA needs to be reduced and controlled (Ganesan and Krishnan, 2013). The relationship between Non-Performing Loans (NPL) ratio and loan quality, financial system stability is very determinant in the banking sector. A marginal increase in NPL ratio raises riskier lending; causing the deterioration of the loan quality and financial system instability (Zhang et al., 2015). Dimittrios et al., (2016) identified taxable income and output gaps as two potential significant determinants of NPL. Credit growth and Non-Performing Loans have a negative impact on profitability. An increase in the supply of bank loans increases the level of non-performing loans; it does not edge to higher profitability (Vithessonthi, 2016). On the contrary, in a bank specific study of Punjab National Bank – one of the Indian nationalized bank, Narula and Singla (2014) found a positive relationship between NPA level and profitability, citing mismanagement on the side of the bank as a major problem for this.

 

With the deadline of the deep surgery (NPA Cleanup) started by former governor Rajan ended on 31st March 2017, banks again are looking for a cushiony approach from the central bank. This is because of a more pragmatic view of current governor Dr. Urjit Patel on the issue. While it is important to understand that another former governor Dr. Rangarajan had advised banks not to escape their responsibility of NPA clean up. In an environment of widely divergent views presented above the study sees an analytical gap on the financial impact of NPA clean up on the banking industry of India.

 

OBJECTIVES:

Banks are often the victim of the incrementing NPA. The above sections highlight a clear gap in literature on the current clean up by regulator on the financial health of Indian banking sector. Therefore, the objectives of the study are-

·       To analyze the status of NPAs prevailing in most stressed PSU banks in India

·       To find out the impact of NPA clean up on the financial performance of these PSU banks.

 

RESEARCH METHODOLOGY:

The study is based on the annual secondary data of the 10 PSU banks collected from their annual reports for the period from April 2010 to March 2016. This includes the data on the variables like their Return on Assets (ROA), Gross NPA, Net NPA, Total Assets and Total Advances. The data will be used to highlight the present position of the 10 PSU banks with GNPA greater than 8 % (Shetty 2016) for the above-mentioned variables. These banks in the decreasing order of GNPA includes Indian Overseas Bank, UCO Bank, Dena Bank, Bank of Baroda, United Bank, Bank of India, Central Bank of India, IDBI Bank, Punjab National Bank and Bank of Maharashtra. The new NPA provisioning introduced by RBI from December 2015 had led to sudden surge in the quantum of NPA in the balance sheet of these banks. The stressed assets hinders the lending capacity of these banks, which further pressurizes the return on the assets of the banks. The following regression model is used to analyze the impact of NPAs on the returns of these banks:-

 

Yt = β0 + β1X1t + β2X2t + β3X3tt

 

In the first regression analysis incorporating the macro variables alongside NPA, ROA is taken as dependent variable with NNPA as a % of total advances, GDP growth rate and Inflation rate calculated on CPI as X1t , X2t , X3t variables respectively. Another linear regression analysis will be done in the same framework by substituting NNPA as a % of total assets instead of NNPA as a % of total advances as first independent variable. The model will be studied using the quarterly data of these variables for the period from April 2010 to December 2016, which were collected from various sources like RBI, Kotak securities financial database and International Financial Statistics of IMF.

 

FINDINGS AND DISCUSSION:

The Current time is witnessing a turbulence in Indian corporate sector, which is burdened with a high level of indepthness measured as Debt/ EBIDTA (Earnings before interest, depreciation and tax ratio). This is creating a debt servicing challenge for these debt-ridden companies. The great Indian debt Saga is seeing many victims mainly the lenders. These lenders are none other than the Indian banks especially the PSU banks who had aggressively lent to such corporates in greed of more income. Even though there is a close monitoring by regulator, but still these banks escaped the stressed assets by not reporting them in NPAs. The recent tightening of the guidelines forced them come out clean by properly positioning these stressed assets as part of NPAs. This has resulted in sharp rise in NPA level of the Indian lenders. The study therefore highlights the new financial health of these banks by providing a synoptic view of their assets, advances and NPAs that will help in understanding the further relationship of NPAs with the return on assets of these most stressed banks. The listing of the banks is according to the descending order of percentage of Gross NPAs in their Balance sheets (Shetty 2016).

 

Indian Overseas Bank:

Indian Overseas Bank (IOB) which accomplished 100% networking status as well as 100% CBS status for its branches and became the first public sector bank to get the latest digital banking software Finacle 10 suite package from Infosys, is ranked 1st in the list of PSU banks with highest GNPA of 12.6%.


 

Table 1 Synoptic View of Indian Overseas Bank

Year

 

Advances

(cr  ₹)

Total assets

(cr  ₹)

Gross npa

(cr  ₹)

Gnpa ratio as % of advances

Gnpa ratio as % of total assets

Net npa

(cr  ₹)

Nnpa ratio as % of advances

Nnpa ratio as % of total assets

Return on assets

(%)

2010-11

111833.0

178784.3

3089.59

2.76

1.73

1328.42

1.19

0.74

0.59

2011-12

140724.4

219637.1

3920.07

2.79

1.78

1907.44

1.36

0.87

0.47

2012-13

160364.1

244656.0

6607.96

4.12

2.70

4027.21

2.51

1.65

0.23

2013-14

175887.8

274904.8

9020.48

5.13

3.28

5658.12

3.22

2.06

0.21

2014-15

171756.0

285637.0

14922.45

8.69

5.22

9813.33

5.71

3.44

-0.15

2015-16

160860.7

274436.8

30048.62

18.68

10.95

19212.57

11.94

7.00

-1.05

Source: Annual Reports 2010-16

 


The gross NPA of bank has proliferated by ₹ 226959.03 crores in the period ranging 2010-11 to 2015-16. The net NPA had rose from ₹1328.42 crores in 2010-11 to ₹ 19212.57 crores in 2015-16. The Advances also augmented by ₹49027.7 crores in the same period. The Total Assets of Indian Overseas Bank had increased from ₹178784.3 crores in 2010-11 to ₹ 274436.8 crores in 2015-16. The return on assets has been persistent in declining so drastically that the change between 2010-11 and 2015-16 is about -1.64%.

 

The increase in the level of Non-Performing Assets is persistent in Indian Overseas Bank due to wrong selection of borrowers. Credit investigation is the assessment of loan proposal from different angles to judge or justify for approval. Borrower selection is the basic and most essential part of credit investigation. Every prudent banker investigates loan proposals to confirm its safety, liquidity and profitability without any compromise. The said bank seemed to neglect the depth of borrower’s financial history resulting in non-payment of interest amount and enhancement of NPAs in balance sheet. The increase in NPA level led to fall in total earnings of bank resulting in decline in Return on Assets. Aggressive lending and irresponsible expansion were also among the other major reasons for accumulation of NPAs with the bank.

 

UCO Bank:

UCO Bank, ranked 1860th on Forbes Global 2000 List and 294th among India's most trusted brands as per the Brand Trust Report 2014, has been on the second position among PSU banks with GNPA of 11%.


 

Table 2 Synoptic View of UCO Bank

Year

Advances

(cr  ₹)

Total Assets (cr  ₹)

Gross NPA

(cr  ₹)

Gnpa Ratio as % of Advances

Gnpa Ratio as % of total Assets

Net NPA

(cr  ₹)

Nnpa ratio as % of advances

NNPA ratio as % of total assets

Return on assets (%)

2010-11

99070.81

163398.5

3150.36

3.18

1.93

1824.55

1.84

1.12

0.55

2011-12

115540.0

180498.4

4086.20

3.54

2.26

2263.94

1.96

1.25

0.61

2012-13

128282.8

198651.4

7130.09

5.56

3.59

4069.31

3.17

2.05

0.31

2013-14

149584.2

239124.8

6621.37

4.43

2.77

3556.43

2.38

1.49

0.63

2014-15

147350.9

245916.9

10265.05

6.97

4.17

6330.58

4.30

2.57

0.46

2015-16

125905.4

244882.5

20907.73

16.61

8.54

11443.59

9.09

4.67

-1.14

Source: Annual Reports 2010-16

 


The gross NPA has extended over from ₹3150.36 crores in 2010-11 to ₹20907.73 crores in 2015-16. The net NPA had intensified 9X times from ₹1824.55 crores in 2010-11 to ₹11443.59 crores in 2015-16. The Advances has aggrandized by ₹26834.59 crores from 2010-11 to 2015-16 even the Total Assets of the bank showed an increasing trend from 2010-11 to 2015-16 by ₹228484 crores. Contrastingly, return on assets is exhibiting a downward trend from 0.55% in 2010-11 to 0.31% in 2012-13 but eventually it increased in 2013-14 only to decline to -1.14 in 2015-16.

 

The estimated reason of a rapid increase in the level of Non-Performing Assets in UCO Bank is mismanagement of funds. When a particular bank fails to observe laws or guidelines while handling finances for another person or organisation that involve some form of negligence and officials are not keeping an eye on the accounts of borrowers and tracking the financial activities, thereby creating a bias in the balance sheet of bank resulting in decline in the value of assets and the return on these assets.

 

Dena Bank:

Dena Bank, a Mumbai based bank with total branch network of 1,773 branches across the nation, is placed 3rd in this list. The gross NPA has increased from ₹842.24 crores in 2010-11 to ₹8560.49 crores in 2015-16. The net NPA, which was ₹1824.55 crores in 2010-11, has widened to ₹ 11443.59 crores in 2015-16. The Advances and the total assets increased by ₹37500.28 crores and ₹62603.18 crores respectively from 2010-11 to 2015-16.  However, the return on assets increased from 0.86% in 2010-11 to 0.91% in 2011-12 only to shrink to -0.7% in 2015-16.


 

Table 3 Synoptic View of Dena Bank

Year

Advances

(cr  ₹)

Total assets (cr ₹)

Gross NPA

(cr ₹)

Gnpa Ratio as % of advances

Gnpa ratio as % of total assets

Net NPA

(cr  ₹)

Nnpa ratio as % of advances

Nnpa ratio as % of total assets

Return on assets (%)

2010-11

44828.05

70838.42

842.24

1.88

1.19

548.95

1.22

0.77

0.86

2011-12

56692.54

87387.92

956.50

1.69

1.09

571.73

1.01

0.65

0.91

2012-13

65781.22

113440.40

1452.00

2.21

1.28

917.00

1.39

0.81

0.71

2013-14

77553.77

124863.50

2616.03

3.37

2.10

1819.00

2.35

1.46

0.44

2014-15

78934.31

129863.50

4393.04

5.57

3.38

1372.22

1.74

1.06

0.2

2015-16

82328.33

133441.60

8560.49

10.40

6.42

3322.32

4.04

2.49

-0.7

Source: Annual Reports 2010-16

 


The estimated reason of a brisk increase in the level of Non-Performing Assets in Dena Bank maybe the lack of trained staff. Bank is cooperative in nature and had a variety of staff. The staff is trained enough to provide facilities related to basic banking but not enough to maintain the NPA level of borrower’s accounts. The other reason behind the expansion of the NPA in the bank is also the increase in the provisions for Non-Performing Assets on version of asset quality review and fresh slippages.

Bank of Baroda:

Bank of Baroda was ranked 801 on Forbes Global 2000 list in 2014 and has total assets in exuberance of 3.58 trillion, 5493 branches worldwide, and 10441 ATMs as of Sept, 2016 is 4th with GNPA of 9.7%. Among these 10 banks BOB is the only bank to have fully recognized the bad assets according to ongoing Assets Quality Review (AQR).


 

Table 4 Synoptic View of Bank of Baroda

Year

Advances

(cr ₹)

Total Assets

(cr ₹)

Gross NPA

(cr ₹)

GNPA Ratio as % of advances

GNPA ratio as % of total assets

Net NPA

(cr ₹)

NNPA ratio as % of advances

NNPA ratio as % of total assets

Return on assets (%)

2010-11

228676.4

358397.2

3152.5

1.38

0.88

790.88

0.35

0.22

1.18

2011-12

287377.3

447321.5

4464.75

1.55

1.00

1543.64

0.54

0.35

1.11

2012-13

328185.8

547135.4

7982.58

2.43

1.46

4192.03

1.28

0.77

0.81

2013-14

397005.8

659504.5

11875.9

2.99

1.80

6034.76

1.52

0.92

0.68

2014-15

428065.1

714988.6

16261.44

3.80

2.27

8069.49

1.89

1.13

0.47

2015-16

383770.2

671376.5

40521.04

10.56

6.04

19046.46

4.96

2.84

-0.8

Source: Annual Reports 2010-16

 


The gross NPA of BOB has broaden from ₹ 3152.5 crores in 2010-11 to ₹ 40521.04 crores in 2015-16. The net NPA had increased from ₹ 790.88 crores in 2010-11 to ₹ 19046.46 crores in 2015-16. New Advances of ₹155093.8 crores on the other hand was created by bank in sample years. The Total Assets of the bank increased in the period from 2010-11 to 2014-15 by ₹356591.4 crores, but decreased to ₹ 671376.5 crores in 2015-16. Despite an increase in all the other variables, return on assets has contracted from 1.18% in 2010-11 to -0.8% in 2015-16. Bank of Baroda, in the past has not been able to create provisions in order to cover up the stressed assets resulting in 2X increase in its NPA in the period of 3-4 consecutive years.

 

 

United Bank:

United Bank of India, headquartered in Kolkata, has 35 regional offices and 2005 branches spread all over India with major presence in Northern India being 5th in the series of banks with GNPA over 8%, has its gross NPA heightened from ₹ 1355.78 crores in 2010-11 to ₹ 9471.01 crores in 2015-16. The net NPA protracted from ₹757.41 crores in 2010-11 to ₹6110.71 crores in 2015-16. The Advances rose from ₹53502.44 crores in 2010-11 to ₹68060.2 crores in 2015-16. The Total Assets of the bank has increased to ₹129431.8 crores in 2015-16 from ₹90040.53 crores in 2010-11. But, return on assets is showing ups and down as it firstly increased from 0.58% in 2010-11 to 0.62% in 2011-12, then decreased to -0.96% in 2013-14, then again it increased in 2014-15 only to decline in 2015-16 to –0.21%.


Table 5 Synoptic View of United Bank

Year

Advances

(cr  ₹)

Total Assets

(cr  ₹)

Gross NPA

(cr  ₹)

Gnpa ratio as % of advances

Gnpa ratio as % of total assets

Net NPA

(cr  ₹)

NNPA ratio as % of advances

NNPA ratio as % of total assets

Return on assets

(%)

2010-11

53502.44

90040.53

1355.78

2.53

1.51

757.41

1.42

0.84

0.58

2011-12

63043.29

102010.4

2176.42

3.45

2.13

1075.55

1.71

1.05

0.62

2012-13

68908.66

114615.1

2963.82

4.30

2.59

1969.98

2.86

1.72

0.34

2013-14

65767.51

125105

7118.01

10.82

5.69

4664.11

7.09

3.73

-0.96

2014-15

66763.04

123027.6

6552.51

9.81

5.33

4088.38

6.12

3.32

0.2

2015-16

68060.2

129431.8

9471.01

13.92

7.32

6110.71

8.98

4.72

-0.21

Source: Annual Reports 2010-16

 


The estimated reason of rapid increase in level of Non-Performing Assets is corporate debt restructuring (CDR) mechanism. This involves lenders writing off some debt and rolling over some more on a bilateral basis between individual banks and borrowers and delays in large projects caused by fuel shortages and problems related to land acquisition and environmental clearances resulted in the wrong classification of NPA. Wrong NPA classification was the result of the deficiencies in the software used by the bank.

 

Bank of India:

Bank of India a government-owned bank since nationalization in 1969 is having 5100 branches as on 31 January 2017, including 56 offices outside India, which includes five subsidiaries, five representative offices, and one joint venture, is 6th positioned with recorded GNPA of 9.2%. The gross NPA recorded at ₹ 4811.55 crores in 2010-11 increased to ₹49879.13 crores in 2015-16. The net NPA had multiplied 14 times from ₹ 1944.99 crores in 2010-11 to ₹ 27996.4 crores in 2015-16. The Advances of Bank of India has deepened by ₹146092.8 crores in merely 6 years. The Total Assets of the bank has intensified 1.5X from ₹ 351172.6 crores from 2010-11 to ₹ 609913.9 crores in 2015-16. On the other hand, return on assets has drastically fallen from 0.7% in 2010-11 to -0.99% in 2015-16.


 

Table 6 Synoptic View of Bank of India

Year

Advances

(cr  ₹)

Total Assets

(cr  ₹)

Gross NPA

(cr  ₹)

Gnpa ratio as % of advances

Gnpa ratio as % of total assets

Net NPA

(cr  ₹)

NNPA ratio as % of advances

NNPA ratio as % of total assets

Return on assets (%)

2010-11

213096.2

351172.6

4811.55

2.26

1.37

1944.99

0.91

0.55

0.7

2011-12

248833.3

384535.5

5893.97

2.37

1.53

3656.42

1.47

0.95

0.69

2012-13

289367.5

452602.7

8765.25

3.03

1.94

5947.31

2.06

1.31

0.6

2013-14

370733.5

573190.2

11868.6

3.20

2.07

7417.22

2.00

1.29

0.47

2014-15

402025.5

618697.8

22193.24

5.52

3.59

13517.57

3.36

2.18

0.27

2015-16

359189

609913.9

49879.13

13.89

8.18

27996.4

7.79

4.59

-0.99

Source: Annual Reports 2010-16

 


The growth and expansion in the action of the bank has driven to ever-growing non-performing assets that have anchored to an enormous amount during the last decade or so.

 

 

 

 

 

Central Bank of India:

Central Bank of India a Mumbai based bank, which is 7th in the list of highest GNPAs, had reserves and surplus at ₹283030 million as on 31 March 2015 and its total business at the end of the last fiscal approximated to ₹ 4505390 million. The Total Assets of the bank rose by ₹253376.8 crores in 2010-11 to ₹ 95708.8 crores in 2015-16 with advances upturning in mentioned years by ₹50284.2 crores.


Table 7 Synoptic View of Central Bank of India

Year

Advances

(cr  ₹)

Total assets

(cr  ₹)

Gross npa

(cr  ₹)

Gnpa ratio as % of advances

Gnpa ratio as % of total assets

Net npa

(cr  ₹)

Nnpa ratio as % of advances

Nnpa ratio as % of total assets

Return on assets

(%)

2010-11

129725.4

209757.3

2394

1.85

1.14

847

0.65

0.40

0.59

2011-12

147512.9

229799.7

7273

4.93

3.16

4557

3.09

1.98

0.23

2012-13

171935.8

268129.6

8456

4.92

3.15

4988

2.90

1.86

0.37

2013-14

177315.2

289496.2

11500

6.49

3.97

6649

3.75

2.30

-0.43

2014-15

188477.5

311940.5

11873

6.30

3.81

6807

3.61

2.18

0.19

2015-16

180009.6

305466.1

22721

12.62

7.44

13242

7.36

4.34

-0.46

Source: Annual Reports 2010-16

 


This was parallel to rise in gross NPA by ₹20327 crores from 2010-11 to 2015-16 and net NPAs exploding from ₹ 847 crores in 2010-11 to ₹ 13242 crores in 2015-16. However, the return on assets contrastingly declined to -0.46% in 2015-16. Before the recession, a strong thriving tendency was seen in the economy. The investors wanted to scope up their projects and broaden; for this, they required supplementary financing and awaited that the economy will breed just as it did heretofore. The Central Bank of India too candidly lent to these project without transmitting proper checks at their end. This was the preeminent reason for the escalation in NPAs.

IDBI Bank:

IDBI Bank was established to provide credit and other financial facilities for the advancement of the nestling Indian industry and is 10th largest development bank in the world. The Total Assets of the bank has increased by ₹ 253376.8 crores from 2010-11 to ₹ 374372.1 crores in 2015-16 and advances of IDBI Bank raised over the years by ₹58795.4 crores.


 

Table 8 Synoptic View of IDBI Bank

Year

Advances

(cr ₹)

Total assets

(cr ₹)

Gross npa

(cr ₹)

Gnpa ratio as % of advances

Gnpa ratio as % of total assets

Net npa

(cr ₹)

Nnpa ratio as % of advances

Nnpa ratio as % of total assets

Return on assets (%)

2010-11

157098.1

253376.8

2784.73

1.77

1.10

1677.91

1.07

0.66

0.65

2011-12

180572.3

290316.3

4551.37

2.52

1.57

2910.93

1.61

1.00

0.69

2012-13

196306.5

322768.5

6449.98

3.29

2.00

3100.36

1.58

0.96

0.58

2013-14

197686

328996.6

9960.16

5.04

3.03

4902.3

2.48

1.49

0.34

2014-15

208376.9

356030.6

12684.97

6.09

3.56

5992.52

2.88

1.68

0.24

2015-16

215893.5

374372.1

24875.07

11.52

6.64

14643.39

6.78

3.91

-0.97

Source: Annual Reports 2010-16

 


The gross NPA increased nine folds from ₹2784.73 crores in 2010-11 to ₹24875.07 crores in 2015-16 and net NPA had expanded by ₹12965.48 crores from 2010-11 to 2015-16. On the other hand, return on assets has gradually contracted from 0.65% in 2010-11 to -0.97% in 2015-16. The level of Non-Performing Assets is due to change in regulatory policies. RBI has changed the rules and standards of the preparing books of accounts, which changed the whole format of doing financial accounting in banks thereby extracting the real value of the NPA in the bank.

 

Punjab National Bank:

Punjab National Bank (PNB), a state-owned corporation based in New Delhi, has had the opportunity of maintaining accounts of national leaders serves over 80 million customers and has over 6,968 branches across India lists 9th out of 10 stressed PSU banks with 8.5% GNPA in its balance sheet.


 

Table 9 Synoptic View of Punjab National Bank

Year

Advances

(cr  ₹)

Total assets

(cr  ₹)

Gross NPA

(cr  ₹)

GNPA ratio as % of advances

GNPA ratio as % of total assets

Net NPA

(cr  ₹)

NNPA ratio as % of advances

NNPA ratio as % of total assets

Return on assets

(%)

2010-11

242106.7

378325.2

4379.39

1.81

1.16

2038.63

0.84

0.54

1.17

2011-12

293774.8

458194

8719.62

2.97

1.90

4454.23

1.52

0.97

1.06

2012-13

308725.2

478877

13465.79

4.36

2.81

7236.5

2.34

1.51

0.99

2013-14

349269.1

550419.9

18880.06

5.41

3.43

9916.99

2.84

1.80

0.6

2014-15

380534.4

603333.6

25694.86

6.75

4.26

15396.5

4.05

2.55

0.5

2015-16

412325.8

667390.5

55818.33

13.54

8.36

35422.56

8.59

5.31

-0.59

Source: Annual Reports 2010-16

 

 


The above table discloses the escalation in the gross NPA by ₹51438.94 cr from 2010-11 to 2015-16 and net NPA from ₹2038.63 cr in 2010-11 to ₹35422.56 cr in 2015-16. The Advances of PNB upsurge in respective years by ₹170219.1 cr. While the size of the total assets reached to ₹667390.5 cr in 2015-16, return on assets eventually decreased from 1.17% to -0.59% in only 6 years. Asset quality of Punjab National Bank was the main reason behind the aggrandizement in the NPA in the bank, which showed huge losses due to the same.

 

 

 

 

 

Bank of Maharashtra:

Bank of Maharashtra, a Pune headquartered bank which basically had its operations focused to cater the financial needs of agriculture sector in Indian state of Maharashtra ranks 10th in the list with 8% GNPA. The gross NPA of bank rose from ₹ 1173.7 cr in 2010-11 to ₹10385.85 cr in March 16. Net NPAs also had seen a similar 9-fold increase in the respective period from ₹ 618.95 cr to ₹6832.03 cr The Advances of Bank of Maharashtra has increased over the years by ₹60681.93 crores in 2015-16. The Assets of the bank had expanded from ₹76442.22 cr to ₹160957.3 cr in the period from 2010 to 2016, but on a contrary saw a sharp fall in return on these assets from 0.64% in 2012-13 to 0.06% in the financial year ending 2016.


Table 10 Synoptic View of Bank of Maharashtra

Year

Advances

(cr ₹)

Total assets

(cr ₹)

Gross npa

(cr ₹)

GNPA ratio as % of advances

GNPA ratio as % of total assets

Net NPA

(cr ₹)

NNPA ratio as % of advances

NNPA ratio as % of total assets

Return on assets (%)

2010-11

46880.77

76442.22

1173.7

2.50

1.54

618.95

1.32

0.81

0.43

2011-12

56059.76

88017.39

1297.03

2.31

1.47

469.57

0.84

0.53

0.48

2012-13

75470.78

116952.8

1137.55

1.51

0.97

392.93

0.52

0.34

0.64

2013-14

88920.4

136320.1

2859.85

3.22

2.10

1807.32

2.03

1.33

0.28

2014-15

98599.1

146018.8

6402.06

6.49

4.38

4126.57

4.19

2.83

0.3

2015-16

107562.7

160957.3

10385.85

9.66

6.45

6832.03

6.35

4.24

0.06

Source: Annual Reports 2010-16

 


The huge quantum of consolidated NPAs of these 10 banks put a serious question on the financial health of the banking sector especially of these mentioned banks. The study therefore tries to present a consolidated picture of this impact on ROA of these banks due to continuously rising NPAs that are supposed to increase because of stringent provisions of the regulator coming close with end of FY 17.

 

NNPA and Macro Variables:

Indian economy is termed as an agrarian economy since more than 50% of the population earns its livelihood from this sector, even though the share of this sector in the GDP of the nation is close to 15%. The political sensitivity of this sector had made Indian banks more vulnerable to NPAs and financial shocks in the form of waiver of farm loan - which are already at highly subsided rates. It has also been highlighted many a times that major defaults of bank loans are coming from top corporate in such a globalized financially matured economy with GDP of more than 2.2 trillion $. However, it is interesting to note that a growing economy provides double-digit growth to financial sector. The following table tried to encapsulate the impact of economic and financial growth of Indian economy in a more volatile inflationary environment on the returns of these fragile banks more pruned to NPAs


 

TABLE 11 Relationship between Return on Assets and NNPA as a % of Total Advances, GDP, Inflation Rate

BANKS

β 0

β 1

β 2

β 3

R2

Indian Overseas Bank

0.108

-0.204*

0.076

0.018

0.78

(0.85)

(0.000)

(0.092)

(0.625)

UCO Bank

4.335

-0.732*

-0.088

-0.121

0.79

(0.02)

(0.000)

(0.548)

(0.173)

Dena Bank

3.422

-0.583*

-0.032

-0.163*

0.90

(0.000) 

(0.000)

(0.565)

(0.001)

Bank of Baroda

1.746

-0.657*

0.001

0.001

0.93

(0.014)

(0.000)

(0.989)

(0.099)

United Bank

-3.824

-0.236

0.872*

-0.131

0.70

(0.289)

(0.313)

(0.021)

(0.325)

Bank of India

1.076

-0.464*

0.04

0.013

0.90

(0.081)

( 0.000)

(0.437)

(0.703)

Central Bank of India

1.623

-0.316*

-0.039

0.035

0.36

(0.172)

(0.006)

(0.671)

(0.564)

IDBI Bank

2.807

-0.65*

-0.717

-0.051

0.75

(0.002)

(0.000)

(0.27)

(0.288)

Punjab National Bank

2.907

-0.520*

-0.056

-0.055

0.82

(0.000) 

(0.000)

(0.339)

(0.225)

Bank of Maharashtra

0.165

-0.093*

-0.016

0.051

0.95

(0.745)

(0.005)

(0.68)

(0.221)

*Significant @ 5% level; Figures in the bracket are P Values

 

 


The above table shows the result of multiple regression analysis between NNPA as percentage of total advances, GDP and inflation Rate with Return on Assets as dependent variable. It can be seen from the table that there exist a strong inverse relationship between Returns and NNPAs as a percentage of total advances except for United Bank where the returns on assets are not responding to change in NPAs but are positively reacting to higher GDP. The lowest response among all the listed banks in the table is of Bank of Maharashtra with a marginal relationship of 0.093%, while UCO Bank is most responsive with 0.732 %. The table is clearly indicative to the fact that any single percent rise in the NNPAs of these fragile banks due to stricter norms will definitely reduce down their profitability to an extent between 0.093 to 0.732%. Stronger banks like Punjab National Bank and Bank of Baroda are also showing strong vulnerability of 0.52% and 0.657% respectively. Since the total assets of the banks show a much broader picture compared to total advances which is part and parcel of total assets, the study further tries to get an insight into if NNPA as a percentage of a broader parameter is also significantly affecting the return on assets or not. The total assets comprises of cash balance of banks, their balances with RBI and other banks, call money and short notice money, their investments, total advances and fixed and other assets.


 

TABLE 12 Relationship between Return on Assets and NNPA as a % of Total Assets, GDP, Inflation Rate

BANKS

β 0

β 1

β 2

β 3

R2

Indian Overseas Bank

-0.003

-0.726*

0.078

0.026

0.79

(0.994)

(0.000)

(0.078)

(0.454)

UCO Bank

5.113

-1.388*

-0.130

-0.131

0.77

(0.150)

(0.000)

(0.405)

(0.167)

Dena Bank

3.360

-0.912*

0.028

-0.161*

0.90

(0.000)

(0.000)

(0.613)

(0.001)

Bank of Baroda

1.764

-1.124*

-0.005

0.002

0.92

(0.021)

(0.000)

(0.935)

(0.949)

United Bank

-3.042

-0.510

0.800*

-0.124

0.72

(0.390)

(0.204)

(0.030)

(0.204)

Bank of India

1.227

-0.735*

0.030

0.005

0.89

(0.068)

(0.000)

(0.580)

(0.873)

Central Bank of India

-1.387

-0.43*

0.113

0.127

0.78

(0.658)

(0.001)

(0.630)

(0.445)

IDBI Bank

3.027

-1.144*

-0.085

-0.054

0.78

(0.000)

(0.000)

(0.171)

(0.236)

Punjab National Bank

2.866

-0.808*

-0.055

-0.051

0.83

(0.000)

(0.000)

(0.340)

(0.240)

Bank of Maharashtra

0.166

-0.062*

-0.018

0.051

0.94

(0.749)

(0.036)

(0.666)

(0.226)

*Significant @ 5% level; Figures in the bracket are P Values

 

 


Table 12 depicts a similar picture to what was visible in earlier table. It is noticeable that NNPA as a percentage of total assets is also significantly causing the change in return on assets with elasticity varying compared to what was caused by the variable NNPA as a percentage of total advances in table 11. The impact of NPAs on ROA is highly elastic i.e. more than one for UCO bank, Bank of Baroda and IDBI bank, with UCO bank witnessing the highest impact of 1.338% fall in returns for every one percentage rise in NNPA as a % of total assets. Bank of Maharashtra is having the lowest impact of 0.062% fall on ROA for every rise, while the ROA of United bank again is irresponsive to change in NNPA. The direction of the return of United bank is driven by rising economic growth. Although inflation rate failed to explain the variation in return on assets of these 10 most stressed banks, this depicts how these banks missed earning opportunities created by change in inflation dynamics only to feel the burden of higher NPAs

 

CONCLUSION:

The banking sector is a key foundation of an economy. If this backbone gets weak, the economy has to suffer. Banks works on gaining profit and this profit helps banks to run safe and smooth. They function by accepting deposits and lending money. Bank lends money to those who are in need and have a purpose of using this credit facility. When the borrowers are unable to pay back the interest payment, that loan converts to NPA. The efforts of former RBI governor initiated in December 2015 in cleaning the NPA from the accounts of Indian banks aimed at a futuristic view of strengthening the banking system to face all the global and domestic turmoil that may come from time. The study therefore looked into the concerning problem of NPAs. It was found that the sector is burdened with more than ₹ 8 lakh crores of such assets. The most stressed 10 PSU banks in themselves had a total of ₹ 273190 cr out of ₹ 8 lakh cr, which is around 34% of the total bad loans of the sector. For most of these banks, the rise in NPAs is due to their clientele comprising of manufacturers in industries like steel, power, textile and other commodity business facing turbulent time both domestically and globally. Nine out of the ten banks under study were having a negative impact of increasing NPAs on their Return on Assets. UCO bank was found to have a highest elasticity between its ROA and NPA whether calculated as a percentage of total advances or total assets. IDBI and Bank of Baroda also had a greater elasticity reflecting a significant dent in their returns due to increase in NPAs coming with new AQR. It can therefore be concluded that the ongoing exercise by the regulator will surely strengthen the Indian banking system in the light of implementation of IFRS accounting and BASEL III norms in near future, though banks have to endure high losses in order to create provisions to write-off the entire NPAs from the books of their accounts.

 

 

REFERENCES:

1.     Agrawal, S. R., and Solanke, S. S. (2012). Problems Faced by Co-operative Banks and Perspectives in the Indian Economy. International Journal of Commerce, Business and Management, 1(2).

2.     Arumugam, A., and Selvalakshmi, G. (2014). Impact of Banking Sector Reforms in India in the Post-Reforms Era. Indian Journal of Research, 3(4).

3.     Bhattacharya, A., and Pal, S. (2013). Financial Reforms and Technical Efficiency in Indian Commercial Banking. Reviews of Financial Economics, 22(4), 109-117.

4.     Collins, N. J., and Wanjau, K. (2011). The effects of Interest rate spread on the level of Non-Performing Assets. International Journal of Business and Public Management, 1(1), 58-65.

5.     Dimittrios, A., Helen, L., and Tsionas, M. (2016). Determinants of Non-Performing Loans: Evidence from Euro-Area Countries. Finance Research Letters, 18, 116-119.

6.     Ganesan, D., and Santhanakrishan, R. (2013). Non-Performing Assets: A study of State Bank of India. Asia Pacific Journal of Research, 1(10).

7.     Gautam, V., and Bhatis, B. S. (2011). Cooperative Banks and Global Financial Crisis. Indian Streams Research Journal, 1(5).

8.     Govil, M., and Tripathi, M. (2014). Financial Performance of Top Ranking Indian Banks in the Post-Crisis Period. Prestige e-Journal of Management and Research, 1(1).

9.     Koundel, V. (2012). Performance of Indian Banks in Financial System. International Journal of Social Science and Interdisciplinary Research, 1(9).

10.  Malik, S. (2014). Technological Innovations in Indian Banking Sector. International Journal of Advance Research in Computer Science and Management Studies, 2(6).

11.  Narula, S., and Singla, M. (2014). Empirical Study on Non-Performing Assets of Bank. International Journal of Advance Research in Computer Science and Management Studies, 2(1).

12.  Rajput, N., Gupta, M., and Chauhan, A. K. (2012). Profitability and Credit Culture of NPAs. International Journal of Marketing, Financial Services and Management Research, 1(9).

13.  Ramakrishna, S., and Kurian, R. (2014). A Comparative Study of Foreign Banks and Public Sector Banks with Reference to Non-Performing Assets. Journal of Research in Commerce and Management, 3(2).

14.  Reddy, P. K. (2002). A Comparative Study of Non-Performing Assets in India in the Global Context. doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.361322

15.  Renuka, R., and Elamathi, C. (2013). Development of Cooperative Banking in India. Indian Journal of Applied Research, 3(8).

16.  Selvarajan, B., and Vadivalagan, G. (2013). A Study on Management of Non-Performing Assets in Priority Sector Reference to Indian Bank and Public Sector Banks (PSBs). Global Journal of Management and Business Research, 13(1).

17.  Sharma, P., and Panwar, V. S. (2014). Setback of Financial Crisis on Indian Banking System. Abhinav National Monthly Refereed Journal of Research in Commerce and Management, 3(6).

18.  Shetty, M. (2016). 10 PSU Banks With Over 8% NPAs Each Account for Over 50% of Bad Loans. The Times of India-Business, February 23, Mumbai.

19.  Tzeremes, N. G. (2015). Efficiency Dynamics in Indian Banking. European Journal of Operational Research, 240, 807-818.

20.  Usha L., S. (2013). A Study on Co-operative Banks in India. Journal of Research of Humanities and Social Sciences, 1(7).

21.  Vallabh, G., Singh, D., Prasoon, R., and Singh, A. (2016). Methodology to Predict NPA in Indian Banking System. Theoretical Economics Letters, 6, 827-836.

22.  Vithessonthi, C. (2016). Deflation, Bank Credit Growth, and Non-performing Loans. International Review of Financial Analysis, 45, 295-305.

23.  Zhang, D., Cai, J., Dickinson, D. G., and Kutan, A. M. (2015). Non-Performing Loans, Moral Hazard and Regulation of the Chinese Commercial Banking System. Journal of Banking and Finance, 63(48).

 

 

 

 

 

 

Received on 07.04.2017                Modified on 18.04.2017

Accepted on 26.04.2017          © A&V Publications all right reserved

Asian J. Management; 2017; 8(3):577-586.

DOI: 10.5958/2321-5763.2017.00093.2