ISSN

2321-5763 (Online)
0976-495X (Print)


Author(s): Nisarg A Joshi, Vishalkumar Jani, Dhyani Mehta

Email(s): nisarg@nisargjoshi.com , vjjani@gmail.com , dhyanimehta87@gmail.com

DOI: 10.52711/2321-5763.2022.00038   

Address: Nisarg A Joshi1, Vishalkumar Jani2, Dhyani Mehta3
1Institute of Management, Nirma University, Ahmedabad – 382481.
2Indian Institute of Public Health, Gandhinagar – 382042.
3School of Liberal Studies, Pandit Deendayal Energy University, Gandhinagar – 382007.
*Corresponding Author

Published In:   Volume - 13,      Issue - 3,     Year - 2022


ABSTRACT:
The purpose of this paper is to study the volatility comparison and volatility spillover effects in India and major global indices. The study uses a vector autoregression model with various GARCH models in order to measure conditional volatility (GARCH), asymmetric effect in the conditional volatility (T-GARCH), volatility persistence in conditional volatility (E-GARCH), the impact of conditional volatility on conditional returns (M-GARCH) and volatility spillover (GARCH (1, 1) with exogenous variable) for the period of 2005 to 2020. The estimates show that the Indian stock market had a strong impact on selected global indices. Volatility spillover was found to be in existence from the Indian stock market to global indices and vice-versa. The T-GARCH estimates show the existence of a significant asymmetric effect in conditional volatility. The results of the E-GARCH estimates show the existence of volatility persistence in conditional volatility and the M-GARCH estimates indicated that there was no significant impact of conditional volatility on conditional returns of the sample indices. These findings have substantial insinuations and outcomes for portfolio managers, analysts, and investors for investment assessments and decisions regarding asset allocations. Higher volatility will lead to a higher level of fretfulness among market participants and investors, which will push them to be more risk-averse. The results of the study are also relevant for policymakers with respect to the Indian as well as global markets. This study will try to add a new dimension to the existing literature by studying how the Indian index has an impact on global indices like Brazil, USA, Russia, China, Japan, Hong Kong, and South Korea.


Cite this article:
Nisarg A Joshi, Vishalkumar Jani, Dhyani Mehta. Volatility Analysis and Volatility Spillover across Equity Markets between India and Major Global Indices. Asian Journal of Management. 2022;13(3):215-2. doi: 10.52711/2321-5763.2022.00038

Cite(Electronic):
Nisarg A Joshi, Vishalkumar Jani, Dhyani Mehta. Volatility Analysis and Volatility Spillover across Equity Markets between India and Major Global Indices. Asian Journal of Management. 2022;13(3):215-2. doi: 10.52711/2321-5763.2022.00038   Available on: https://ajmjournal.com/AbstractView.aspx?PID=2022-13-3-8


REFERENCES:
1.    Aneja R, Makkar A. Relationship between Stock Prices and Financial Crises: A Case study of Indian Commercial Banks. Asian Journal of Management. (2017); 8(3): 809-814. DOI: 10.5958/2321-5763.2017.00127.5
2.    Anoruo E, Ramchander S, Thiewes H. Return Dynamics across the Asian Equity Markets. Managerial Finance. 2003.
3.    Arora H. Lead Lag effect between Nifty 50 and Midcap 50 of Indian Stock Market. Asian Journal of Management. (2017); 8(3): 854 - 858. DOI: 10.5958/2321-5763.2017.00133.0
4.    Arshanapalli B, Doukas J, Larry H.P Lang. Pre- and Post-October 1987 Stock Market Linkages between U.S. and Asian Markets.” Pacific-Basin Finance Journal. 1995; 3(1): 57–73. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/0927-538X(94)00025-3.
5.    Asgharian H, Hess W, Lu Liu. A Spatial Analysis of International Stock Market Linkages. Journal of Banking & Finance. 2013; 37(12):4738–54.
6.    Babu M, Hariharan C. Efficiency of Capital Markets: A Study with Special Reference to G7 Nations Stock Markets. Asian Journal of Management. (2017); 8(4): 1295 - 1303. DOI: 10.5958/2321-5763.2017.00196.2
7.    Bhar R, Nikolova B. Analysis of Mean and Volatility Spillovers Using BRIC Countries, Regional and World Equity Index Returns. Journal of Economic Integration. 2007; 369–81.
8.    Caporale M, Spagnolo N. Stock Market Integration between Three CEECs. Journal of Economic Integration. 2012; 115–22.
9.    Gakhar D V, Mohun T, Pandey A. Impact of Union Budget on CNX Auto and CNX Bank. Asian Journal of Management. (2017); 8(2): 507 - 515. DOI: 10.5958/2321-5763.2017.00082.8
10.    Goudarzi H, Ramanarayanan CS. Modelling and Estimation of Volatility in the Indian Stock Market. International Journal of Business and Management. 2010; 5(2):85–98.
11.    Gupta RK, Jindal N, Bamba M, Gupta A. Asymmetric Volatility and Performance of Indian Equity Market-Comparison of SENSEX and S&P CNX Nifty. International Journal Of 360o Management Review. 2013; 1(2): 1–12.
12.    Hamao Y, Masulis R, Victor Ng. Correlations in Price Changes and Volatility across International Stock Markets. The Review of Financial Studies. 1990; 3(2):281–307.
13.    Jain A, Biswal PC Intraday Price Discovery and Information Sharing between Stocks and Single Stock Futures: Evidence from India. International Journal of Financial Markets and Derivatives. 2015; 4(3–4): 203–12.
14.    Jebran K, Shihua C, Ullah I, Mirza SS Does Volatility Spillover among Stock Markets Varies from Normal to Turbulent Periods? Evidence from Emerging Markets of Asia. The Journal of Finance and Data Science. 2017; 3(1–4):20–30.
15.    Joshi NA, Mehta D, Patel N, Patel B. Volatility Analysis and Volatility Spillover across Equity Markets between India and Europe. SMART Journal of Business Management Studies. 2021; 17(1): 31–41.
16.    Joshi NA, Mehta D, Patel N, Patel B. Causality and Cointegration among Stock Market Indices: A Study of Developed Markets with Sensex. International Journal of Accounting & Finance Review. 2021; 31–52. Doi: 10.46281/ijafr.v7i1.1172.
17.    Kaushik N. Corporate Governance and Indian Stock Market: A Study with Asymmetric Conditional Volatility Models. Asian Journal of Management. (2018); 9(1): 80 - 86. DOI: 10.5958/2321-5763.2018.00012.4
18.    Koutmos G, Booth GG. Asymmetric Volatility Transmission in International Stock Markets. Journal of International Money and Finance. 1995; 14(6): 747–62.
19.    Kumar A, Khanna S. GARCH - BEKK Approach to Volatility Behaviour and Spillover: Evidence from India, China, Hong Kong, and Japan. Indian Journal of Finance. 2018; 12(4): 7. doi: 10.17010/ijf/2018/v12i4/122791.
20.    Li Y, Giles DE. Modelling Volatility Spillover Effects between Developed Stock Markets and Asian Emerging Stock Markets. International Journal of Finance & Economics. 2015; 20(2):155–77.
21.    Maitra D., Dey D. Copulas and Dependence Structures: Evidences from India’s and Asian Rubber Futures Markets. International Journal of Financial Markets and Derivatives. 2014. 3(4):322–57.
22.    Majumdar A, Saha A. Influence of Macroeconomic Variables on Stock Market Volatility: A study on Nifty. Asian Journal of Management. 2018; 9(1): 440 - 444. DOI: 10.5958/2321-5763.2018.00068.9
23.    Masih Abul MM, Masih R. Dynamic Linkages and the Propagation Mechanism Driving Major International Stock Markets: An Analysis of the Pre-and Post-Crash Eras. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance. 1997; 37(4):859–85.
24.    Mohammadi H. Tan Y. Return and Volatility Spillovers across Equity Markets in Mainland China, Hong Kong and the United States. Econometrics. 2015; 3(2):215–32.
25.    Mukherjee KN, Mishra RK. Stock Market Integration and Volatility Spillover: India and Its Major Asian Counterparts. Research in International Business and Finance. 2010; 24(2):235–51. doi: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2009.12.004.
26.    Narwal K, Chhabra P. An Insight of Implied Volatility Vis-a-Vis its Informational Efficiency, Association with Underlying Assets and Spillovers Effects. Asian Journal of Management. 2018; 9(2): 967 – 977. doi: 10.5958/2321-5763.2018.00153.1
27.    Nishimura Y, Men M. The Paradox of China’s International Stock Market Co‐movement. Journal of Chinese Economic and Foreign Trade Studies. 2010; 3(3):235–53. doi: 10.1108/17544401011084316.
28.    Rajamohan S, Arivalagan G. Nexus amidst Asian Continent Stock Exchange Indices. Asian Journal of Management. (2017); 8(4): 1227 - 1232. DOI: 10.5958/2321-5763.2017.00186.X
29.    Renatas K, Pierdzioch C. Changes in the International Co-movement of Stock Returns and Asymmetric Macroeconomic Shocks. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money. 2009; 19(2):289–305.
30.    Susruth M. Application of GARCH Models to Forecast Financial Volatility of Daily Returns: An Empirical study on the Indian Stock Market. Asian Journal of Management. (2017); 8(2): 192 - 200. DOI: 10.5958/2321-5763.2017.00030.0
31.    Tanty G, Patjoshi P K. A Study on Stock Market Volatility Pattern of BSE and NSE in India. Asian Journal of Management. (2016); 7(3): 193 - 200. DOI: 10.5958/2321-5763.2016.00029.9
32.    Tiwari A, Dar AB, Bhanja N, Shah A. Stock Market Integration in Asian Countries: Evidence from Wavelet Multiple Correlations. Journal of Economic Integration. 2013; 441–56.
33.    Uyaebo SO, Victor NA, Usman F. Nigeria Stock Market Volatility in Comparison with Some Countries: Application of Asymmetric GARCH Models. CBN Journal of Applied Statistics. 2015; 6(2):133–60.
34.    Vo, Xuan V, Ellis C. International Financial Integration: Stock Return Linkages and Volatility Transmission between Vietnam and Advanced Countries. Emerging Markets Review 2018; 36: 19–27.
35.    Wang P, Wang P. Price and Volatility Spillovers between the Greater China Markets and the Developed Markets of US and Japan. Global Finance Journal. 2010; 21(3):304–17. doi: 10.1016/j.gfj.2010.09.007.
36.    Yilmaz, K. Return and Volatility Spillovers among the East Asian Equity Markets. Journal of Asian Economics 21(3):304–13.

Recomonded Articles:

Author(s): GoutamTanty, P K Patjoshi

DOI: 10.5958/2321-5763.2016.00029.9         Access: Open Access Read More

Author(s): Manu K S, Varsha L Menda

DOI: 10.5958/2321-5763.2017.00090.7         Access: Open Access Read More

Author(s): Sunaina Kanojia, Shivali Dhamija

DOI: 10.5958/2321-5763.2017.00150.0         Access: Open Access Read More

Author(s): Rupal Muduli, Udayan Das

DOI: 10.5958/2321-5763.2018.00055.0         Access: Open Access Read More

Author(s): Abhin. J, Diljith. P, A. Ananth

DOI: 10.5958/2321-5763.2018.00139.7         Access: Open Access Read More

Author(s): Arti Pathania, Ravikant Swami

DOI: 10.5958/2321-5763.2018.00047.1         Access: Open Access Read More

Author(s): Jugal Kishore Barman

DOI:         Access: Open Access Read More

Author(s): Divya Verma Gakhar, Tina Mohun, Anita Pandey

DOI: 10.5958/2321-5763.2017.00082.8         Access: Open Access Read More

Author(s): S. Rajamohan, G. Arivalagan

DOI: 10.5958/2321-5763.2017.00186.X         Access: Open Access Read More

Asian Journal of Management (AJM) is an international, peer-reviewed journal, devoted to managerial sciences. The aim of AJM is to publish the relevant to applied management theory and practice...... Read more >>>

RNI: Not Available                     
DOI: 10.5958/2321-5763 



Recent Articles




Tags